Euler Finance Hacker Rejects Bounty, SVB Financial Group Files for Bankruptcy

Mar 17, 2023

Market Update

  • Markets have largely received news of the Fed's balance sheet expansion to $8.6T earlier this week to be favorable but concerns around the stability of regional banks still loom. $SPX (-1.3%)and $QQQ (-1.0%) have opened lower today after First Republic Bank received its $30b infusion from other banks. $BTC (+6.0%) briefly traded at $27k this morning before retracing to right below it, while $ETH (+3.6%) did not break its $17.8k high from earlier in the week. Across the Top 100, Conflux ($CFX) and Stack ($STX) have been the top gainers over the past week. The former benefitted from the 'China narrative,' ranking 7th in 24H volume in the top 100. We wrote about Stacks' potential for growth two weeks ago. 
  • The hacker behind the $200m hack of Euler Finance, a lending protocol, rejected the protocol's offer of $20m and instead used Tornado Cash to obfuscate 1k ETH (~$1.65m). Euler Finance had publicly offered the attacker 10% of the stolen funds if they returned the rest, but the attacker did not take the deal. However, the hacker did send 100 ETH to one of the victims. After being hidden for eight months, the vulnerability in the protocol's donation mechanism allowed the hacker to create an overlevered position that, when liquidated in the same block, artificially caused it to sink, keeping $200 million divided into DAI, USDC, wBTC, and ETH. An address controlled by the entity that exploited Euler Finance's protocol has sent 100 ETH to a wallet associated with Lazarus Group's Ronin network hack, drawing suspicion that the North Korean group was behind this episode.
  • SVB Financial Group, the former parent company of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in the US Bankruptcy Court for the SDNY. Silicon Valley Bank had some high-profile crypto customers, including Circle Internet Financial and Ripple, although it was not as focused on crypto as other banks that have recently collapsed, such as Silvergate Bank and Signature Bank. SVB Financial has around $2.2 billion in liquidity, $3.3 billion in bond debt, and $3.7 billion of outstanding preferred equity. SVB Capital and SVB Securities, the company's venture capital and broker-dealer arms, are not included in the bankruptcy filing. The bankruptcy filing comes after regulators took control of Silicon Valley Bank due to concerns about the bank's financial stability. 

Daily Technical Strategy

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Mark L. Newton, CMT

Head of Technical Strategy

The $ETHBTC pair has just violated lows going back since last July as Bitcoin largely has shown outperformance over Ethereum since last Fall. This break of five-month lows normally signifies that it's still early to consider swapping to Ethereum, and i expect further Bitcoin outperformance over the next 3-5 days until Ethereum tries to make a relative stand. While $ETHBTC momentum has officially entered oversold territory, counter-trend exhaustion remains premature to expect a low. Overall, while $ETH on an absolute basis looks likely to advance to challenge last August's peaks near $2000, the $ETHBTC should show further downside into next week before this can stabilize and try to turn back higher. Bottom line, a rally back over 0.0676 is necessary before expecting any advance in $ETHBTC, and a pullback down to 0.060 looks very possible before this stabilizes.

Daily Important Metrics

Crypto Size

Bullish signal is tied to the crypto market growing

Market cap $1.14T +$60B (+5.56%)
BTC Dominance
45.19% (+1.60%)
Stablecoins

Increase in circulating stablecoins is a Bullish signal

In Circulation $75B(+1.24%)
In Exchanges $14B(-0.02%)
BTC Metrics

A decrease in Bitcoin on exchanges is bullish, indicates investors are moving coins to cold storage

# BTC in Exchanges 2.3M(0.02%)
Funding Rates

Positive funding rates indicate traders are Bullish

Aggregate0.32 (-0.25)
Binance0.94 (0.82)
Bitfinex0.08 (-1.35)
Bitmex0.42 (-0.12)
ByBit1.00 (0.12)
Deribit-0.01 (0.04)
Huobi1.00 (0.00)
Kraken-0.32 (0.67)
Mean0.32 (-0.25)
OKex-0.88 (-1.50)
Sentiment
Euler Finance Hacker Rejects Bounty, SVB Financial Group Files for Bankruptcy

BMI : 68 (1.49%)

Futures

A positive spread between Futures Prices and Spot Prices is Bullish

CME BTC Price$26,610 (7.21%)
Spot Basis
$42.83 (0.16%)
Volume1.5M (-34%)
Open Interest
304,192 (2.88%)
Options all exchanges

Higher open interest change in a bull market is bullish for the sector

Volume46,661 (-21%)
Open Interest402,530 (3.56%)
Volume Put/Call Ratio0.4528 (-29%)
Open Interest Put/Call Ratio0.5417 (-1.64%)

All metrics as of March 17, 2023 12:33 PM

All Funding rates are on bps

Crypto Prices

Symbol Market Cap Last Price Daily Change Year to Date Relative to BTC YTD
btc imageBTC
$513B $26,565 7.21% 60%
btc imageETH
$211B $1,726 3.79% 44% -16%
btc imageADA
$12B $0.3365 3.39% 36% -24%
btc imageMATIC
$10B $1.19 4.44% 56% -4.75%
btc imageDOGE
$9.8B $0.0741 4.87% 5.60% -55%
btc imageSOL
$7.7B $20.12 3.41% 103% 43%
btc imageDOT
$7.5B $6.39 5.31% 47% -13%
btc imageLINK
$3.6B $7.06 7.02% 27% -33%
btc imageNEAR
$1.8B $2.04 5.09% 61% 0.15%

Exchange Traded Products (ETPs)

Symbol Premium to Nav Last Price Daily Change Year to Date Relative to BTC YTD
GBTC -38% $14.98 6.62% 81% 20%
BITW -58% $9.72 2.75% 81% 21%
ETHE -52% $8.19 3.80% 72% 12%
BTCC -0.53% $4.91 6.97% 62% 1.69%

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MARKET DATA

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