Su Launches New Crypto Exchange, Kraken Settles with SEC

Feb 10, 2023
Most Important Daily
Data and News for Digital Assets

Crypto Daily Report

February 10, 2023
THIS MESSAGE IS SENT SOLELY TO MEMBERS OF FS INSIGHT
Tickers on this report: BTC, DUSK, ETH, LRC, MINA, QQQ, RPL, SPX, stETH
Market Update
Su Launches New Crypto Exchange, Kraken Settles with SEC

Walter Teng

Vice President of Digital Asset Strategy

  • Digital asset markets took a dive late yesterday after the SEC announced its $30m settlement with Kraken's staking service and investigation into stablecoin issuer Paxos. BTC and ETH retraced 4.0% and 6.3% in the past day, while SPX and QQQ 0.14%  are down 0.30% and 1.3% since yesterday's close. In response to the SEC's crackdown on centralized staking services, liquid staking derivative RocketPool (RPL) performed well relative to the market, up 14.8% over the past day. Zero-knowledge tokens have outperformed as well, in anticipation of Polygon's zkEVM Mainnnet. Loopring (LRC - a zkRollup Layer 2) and Mina Protocol (MINA - an efficiency-focused zk-Layer 1 blockchain) have both gained 1.0% over the past day. Dusk Network (DUSK), a zk-based privacy blockchain for financial applications with a smaller market cap, appreciated 21.3% over the same period.  
  • Su Zhu, the co-founder of now-defunct hedge fund Three Arrows Capital, tweeted yesterday that a waitlist is open for his new exchange, OPNX. Specifically, those who have trading claims and derivatives of funds stuck on failed exchanges can use it as collaterel and start trading them. The failed exchanges include FTX, Genesis, Celsius, BlockFi, Voyager, 3AC, Hodlnaut, MtGox, Vauld, and ZipMex. He further stated that the future platform will feature 'fully decentralized custody and clearing services with real-time public cryptographic audits confirming every balance, liquidation, withdrawal, deposit, and trade.' Understandably, his tweet garnered much skepticism from the crypto community, given 3AC's untruthful representations leading up to its insolvency. Su sounds like he is trying to build an on-chain CLOB exchange, namely a dYdX competitor, but it is hard to make the case to give a historically deceitful actor a chance at redemption.   
  • Kraken has reached a $30m settlement with the SEC over its staking services offered to US-based customers. The SEC charged the company for failing to register its staking arm, which it deemed to constitute securities. The regulatory agency further warned other US-based firms to take this as a warning to cease staking operations. In a blog post, Kraken explicitly stated that it will automatically unstake any assets staked by U.S. clients except for staked ether ($stETH), which will not be unstaked until after Ethereum's Shanghai upgrade scheduled for March. Kraken and Coinbase, the two largest American exchanges, constitute ~20% of all current staked ETH. Kraken will continue to offer staking services to non-US users through an off-shore subsidiary. 
Daily Technical Strategy
Su Launches New Crypto Exchange, Kraken Settles with SEC

Mark L. Newton, CMT

Head of Technical Strategy

Following four straight weeks higher, Bitcoin has now begun some necessary consolidation over the last couple weeks which is helping to relieve its near-term overbought conditions. While the recent churning near 23k over the last couple weeks wasn't too damaging technically, Thursday's break to multi-week lows was considered a short-term technical negative. While the 50-day moving average (m.a.) has recently crossed above the 200-day m.a. (Golden Cross) it's important to recognize that these types of moving average crossovers speak more to the gradual recovery in structure, more than representing a true short-term trading signal. Many might agree when seeing former failures in this back in 2/20, 7/15, or 7/14 just to name a few. Importantly, while a Golden Cross technically has occurred on a daily basis, weekly charts are close to seeing a "Death Cross" (50-week m.a. crossing below the 200-week m.a.) which speaks to the degree of the intermediate-term deterioration having been seen since last November 2021. Overall, given the pickup in technical strength and momentum in recent months, pullbacks should represent buying opportunities, and one should consider 50-61.8% of the prior low to high range as offering some support on this recent pullback. ($19.8k-20.9k) Once BTCUSD can regain the area of its recent breakdown at 22643, upward projections up to 25k and then 27-29k are possible.

Daily Important Metrics

Crypto Size

Bullish signal is tied to the crypto market growing

Market Cap $1.02T $-45.8B (-4.31%)

BTC Dominance   41.42% (+0.46%)

Stable Coins

Increase in circulating stablecoins is a Bullish signal

In Circulation $68B (+0.00%)

In Exchanges $17B (-0.29%)

BTC Metrics

A decrease in Bitcoin on exchanges is bullish, indicates investors are moving coins to cold storage

# BTC in Exchanges 2.2M (-0.02%)

Funding Rates

Positive funding rates indicate traders are Bullish

Aggregate 0.0073% (-0.0013)

Binance -0.0043% (0.0114)

Bitfinex 0.0059% (0.0059)

Bitmex -0.0043% (0.0114)

ByBit 0.0100% (0.0000)

Deribit 0.0010% (0.0009)

Huobi 0.0130% (0.0030)

Kraken 0.0079% (0.0062)

Mean 0.0073% (-0.0013)

OKex 0.0050% (-0.0073)

SENTIMENT

Su Launches New Crypto Exchange, Kraken Settles with SEC

BMI: 78 (2.63%)

Futures All Exchanges

A positive spread between Futures Prices and Spot Prices is Bullish

CME BTC Price $21,625 (-4.23%)

Spot Basis   $17.67 (0.08%)

Volume 1.6M (103%)

Open Interest  345,255 (-1.84%)

Options All Exchanges

Higher open interest change in a bull market is bullish for the sector

Volume 31,400 (37%)

Open Interest 286,143 (2.33%)

Volume Put/Call Ratio 0.8807 (127%)

Open Interest Put/Call Ratio 0.4234 (2.10%)

All metrics as of February 10, 2023 12:32 PM
Crypto Prices
SymbolMarket CapLast PriceDaily ChangeYear to DateRelative to BTC YTD
BTC$417B$21,607-4.37%30%
ETH$186B$1,519-6.71%27%-3.69%
ADA$12B$0.3580-6.89%45%15%
MATIC$11B$1.26-2.89%65%35%
DOGE$11B$0.0810-7.28%15%-15%
SOL$7.7B$20.60-8.54%108%78%
DOT$7.1B$6.16-9.23%42%11%
LINK$3.5B$6.91-9.49%24%-6.05%
NEAR$1.9B$2.21-11%74%43%

All prices as of February 10, 2023 12:32 PM

Exchange Traded Products (ETPs)
SymbolPremium to NavLast PriceDaily ChangeYear to DateRelative to BTC YTD
GBTC-46%$10.670.38%29%-1.72%
BITW-59%$8.31-1.71%55%24%
ETHE-53%$6.75-5.00%42%11%
BTCC0.19%$4.00-1.72%32%1.58%

All prices as of February 10, 2023 4:00 PM

Stocks
SymbolMarket CapLast PriceDaily ChangeYear to dateRelative to BTC YTD
PYPL$216B$80.803.03%13%-17%
SQ$76B$75.23-1.25%20%-11%
COIN$65B$57.09-4.26%61%31%
SBNY$18B$130-3.22%13%-18%
HOOD$15B$9.98-0.99%23%-7.83%
MSTR$6.1B$243-2.28%72%41%
SI$4.2B$14.99-4.89%-14%-44%
MARA$3.5B$5.92-0.50%73%43%
RIOT$2.7B$5.51-2.48%63%32%
MOGO$223M$0.7802-7.12%47%17%

All prices as of February 10, 2023 4:00 PM

News
QUICK BITS
Three Arrows Capital Founders Launch Exchange Where You Can Trade 3AC Bankruptcy Claims
CoinDesk
Named Open Exchange, the platform aims to be a home for trading what it says is a $20 billion market of claims against bankrupt crypto firms, including those of 3AC.
DOSE OF DEFI
MakerDAO integrates Chainlink Oracle to help maintain DAI stability
The Block
MakerDAO has added Chainlink’s oracle to its technology stack for maintaining the stability of its DAI stablecoin. The post MakerDAO integrates Chainlink Oracle to help maintain DAI stability appeared first on The Block.
REGULATION
Kraken reaches $30M settlement with SEC over staking
Coin Telegraph
“Kraken not only offered investors outsized returns untethered to any economic realities, but also retained the right to pay them no returns at all,” said Gurbir Grewal. Cryptocurrency exc...
FUNDRAISING AND M&A
Web3 Gaming Platform Ajuna Raises $5M in New Private Financing
CoinDesk
The platform makes it easier for developers to connect traditional game engines to blockchains.
FanDuel Co-Founders Raise $4M for Digital Music Collectible Startup Vault
CoinDesk
The funding round for VAULT was led by Placeholder VC.
HACKS, EXPLOITS, AND SCAMS
DForce protocol drained of $3.6 million in reentrancy attack
The Block
DForce DeFi protocol suffered a loss of $3.6 million in a reentrancy attack on the Arbitrum and Optimism chains. The post DForce protocol drained of $3.6 million in reentrancy attack appeared first on The Block.

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