Crypto Research
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In today’s video, we break down the evolving crypto setup heading into Q2—including the impact of end-of-quarter flows, MicroStrategy’s recent BTC purchase, and why the April 2nd tariff announcement remains the most important near-term driver of crypto prices. We also cover Circle’s IPO plans, BlackRock’s latest Bitcoin commentary, ETHBTC hitting post-COVID lows, and option market signals pointing to an imminent move. Lastly, we preview the key macro data releases on...
Still Cautious Ahead of April 2nd, Elevated Odds of a Decisive Near-Term Move (±15%)
While some of the risks that prompted our cautious stance in early February have been partially mitigated, most remain—with the ongoing trade war still the most pertinent. Therefore, we believe it remains prudent to exercise patience. That said, improving liquidity conditions, favorable seasonality, and the possibility of a budget-neutral BTC acquisition strategy offer reasons for optimism. Regardless of the direction, depressed implied volatility (BVIV < 50) suggests that a significant...
In today's video, we discuss how a pair of articles and recent comments from Trump suggest the administration may be less willing to tolerate "short-term pain" than previously expected. This shift could give additional legs to the ongoing crypto rally. TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC 0.46%
In todays video we speak more to our view that the market is discounting the potential for information emerging around budget neutral strategies for the SBR to acquire BTC and discuss todays pricing of MSTR’s new perpetual preferred shares. TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC 0.46%
We Still Like Playing Defense, But Details on Budget-Neutral Strategies Could Give Prices A Boost
While some of the risks prompting our cautious stance in early February have been partially mitigated, most still persist—with the ongoing trade war being most pertinent. Thus, we believe it's prudent to remain patient. However, reading between the lines, there is a non-zero possibility that next week, we will receive material information regarding potential "budget-neutral" methods the US government could employ to acquire BTC. Depending on details revealed, this could...
In today’s video, we revisit key risks flagged in February that threatened crypto prices, evaluate whether they still exist, and highlight an under-the-radar deadline for the Presidential Working Group that could reignite animal spirits. TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC 0.46%
Founded in 2013, Grayscale provides investors with access to the crypto economy through a suite of future-forward investment products. Grayscale is one of the longest tenured digital asset managers with more than a decade of operational experience leading the industry. Investors, advisors, and allocators turn to Grayscale for exposure to single-asset, diversified, and thematic investment products. Grayscale has 34 different digital asset investment products spanning different sectors and structures. Grayscale’s...
In today's video, we break down what to expect for crypto ahead of tomorrow's FOMC press conference. We also explore the unusual divergence between stablecoin and ETF flows and examine what Strategy's latest security offering could mean for the crypto market. TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC 0.46%