Crypto Research
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SUMMARY MARKET ANALYSIS:Crypto markets rallied off last week’s lows. PORTFOLIO STRATEGY:The risk / return profile looks attractive at these levels. WINNERS & LOSERSWinner: The Steem community who is taking a stand against Tron founder Justin Sun.Loser: MakerDAO token holders who are getting diluted due to poor performing loans. WEEKLY RANT:BitMex going down for maintenance makes me cringe, but it may have been for the better. FINANCING ACTIVITY:Bakkt, Argent, Phemex, and...
I heard a rumor earlier this week that a major bank (my bank) had limited cash withdrawals from ATMs. This turned out to be false, but banks are closing allowing employees to go into self-quarantine (Chase announced it was closing 20% of its branches and I expect more banks to follow) and there are already stories of people either withdrawing large amounts of cash (Bill Ackman) or banking systems being...
HEAVY TECHNICAL DAMAGE BUT A FEW SILVER LININGS Last week’s collapse in cryptocurrencies has left most chart patterns badly compromised with BTC breaking below its 2015-2020 uptrend. _HOWEVER, DESPITE THE TECHNICAL DAMAGE THAT IS NOW IN PLACE THERE ARE SOME SILVER LININGS DEVELOPING NOTABLY THAT BTC HAS HELD AND RALLIED FROM ITS 200-WEEK SMA, ETH HAS RECAPTURED ITS Q4 2019 LOWS AND ETH VS BTC HAS HELD KEY SUPPORT AT...
Every few days I ending up talking about one of the North American public companies participating in the digital currency ecosystem. While I will continue to report on their respective corporate announcements, I am going to start providing the following basic chart every week to show key market data. I am happy to consider adding names to this list. THE HEADLINES MARKET DATA EXCHANGE, CUSTODY AND PRODUCT NEWS THOUGHTS ON...
I have looked at a lot of different technical analysis over the past several years and I recently discovered some new work from Technical Roundup, a shop based in the UK. I plan to start incorporating their bitcoin (BTC) analysis into BitDigest every Wednesday to provide a technical explanation for BTC’s price action. THE HEADLINES MARKET DATA EXCHANGE, CUSTODY AND PRODUCT NEWS THOUGHTS ON THE ECOSYSTEM
Back in December 2019, I started saying we’re in a “CRYPTO GOLDILOCKS ECONOMY” THAT’S “NOT TOO HOT AND NOT TOO COLD” – meaning, markets weren’t expensive, but they weren’t cheap either. THAT CHANGED THIS WEEK. Corona. Macro. Panic. Reason aside, Bitcoin’s price retraced to a low of $3,858 and now sits around $5,400, and its Market Cap / Cumulative Mining Revenue Ratio has fallen to 5.3x. As an investor in...
BTC stress tests its 2015-2020 uptrend at 7.7K. ETH tests key level at 180
Cryptocurrencies abruptly u-turned over weekend sending most back to key technical levels as global macro worries intensified. BTC is now testing important support at 7.5-7.7K that needs to hold to keep its longer-term uptrend intact, while ETH is also testing a key level at 180. BTC – BENEFIT OF THE DOUBT AS BTC IS OVERSOLD SHORT-TERM AT LONG-TERM TREND SUPPORT. Last week, we highlighted BTC was likely starting a short-term...
March 6 _Fair Value: $13,000-$15,0000 _ If ever the view that “crypto is a macro hedge” is to be put to the test, then 2020 would seem to be that time. Thanks to the fear and loathing created by the outbreak of the coronavirus, the ripple effects of COVID-19, as it’s known, is far reaching. We are seeing pure havoc in fixed income markets (the yield on the U.S. Treasury...