Crypto Research

GEOPOLITICAL NOISE After briefly eclipsing $45k and $3.2k, both bitcoin and ether tumbled on Friday afternoon following indications from the US government that a Russian invasion of Ukraine was imminent. On Tuesday, these fears were quelled when reports surfaced indicating that troops were being removed from the Ukrainian border and crypto rebounded alongside equities. At the time of writing, the global crypto market is slightly lower on the 7-day chart,...

Cryptocurrency rally looks to have temporarily stalled out after a sharp three-week rally.  Ethereum has stalled out in its relative performance vs Bitcoin, and for now, Bitcoin is an outperformer over Ethereum and should be favored. Weekly momentum remains negative and Cycle composites start to turn lower in early March into April/May, so given low retail interest and not many inflows, this could limit the larger rally continuing to all-time highs...

Venture capital went all-in on infrastructure projects this week, more than tripling investments into the crypto vertical at $942 million. The runner-up was NFT/metaverse projects, which raised $134.5 million over 7 projects that were mostly very early-stage funding rounds. CeFi and DeFi were relatively inactive, raising $40 million and $11 million, respectively. A mining infrastructure project raised $385 million in a mix of equity and debt, and three venture capital...

Markets rebound sharply, with impressive price action across all major crypto sectors.On-chain and derivatives data point toward a combination of low liquidity, seller exhaustion, and short liquidations as the major catalysts for this price run.A disproportionate increase in price compared to realized cap suggests that low liquidity levels are exacerbating price movements.We review several events of the past week and discuss the major implications.BOTTOM LINE: We remain bullish on the...