Crypto Research
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Why the DOJ Isn’t Market-Selling $6.5B in BTC, and Why Many Are Underestimating the Probability of Pro-Crypto Actions in the First 100 Days
In today’s video, we discuss last night’s news about the DOJ securing approval to sell $6.5B in BTC and explore why the odds favor positive regulatory and legislative actions for crypto in the post-inauguration period. TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC -1.65%
In today's video, we analyze the disconnect between equities and crypto, exploring whether BTC's recent performance is signaling a broader market bottom or merely lagging equities. We also highlight the relative outperformance of the AI and memecoin sectors and what this could mean for the market's next moves. TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC -1.65%
In today’s video, we break down why we believe profits from the HYPE airdrop are moving into Solana, Sui, and Base. We’ll also explain why we’re staying tactically cautious through year-end, discussing the key risks and factors that could influence market sentiment over the coming weeks. TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC -1.65%
CORE STRATEGY: REMAINING TACTICALLY CAUTIOUS, TGA RUNDOWN + EARLY JAN FLOWS COULD PRODUCE NEEDED SPARK In our view, this cycle is far from over. However, until bonds find a bottom and the USD peaks, it’s prudent for more tactically-minded crypto investors to remain nimble and ready to capitalize on opportunities once a trend reversal is confirmed. While this could happen as early as next week due to early-January inflows, additional...
WEEKLY RECAP As expected, funding totals during the holidays were comparatively low. Both total funding and deal count fell by approximately 70%. There were 11 deals this week totaling $45 million in funding. All disclosed funding amounts fell into the Infrastructure and DeFi categories, while Web3 tallied two deals for undisclosed amounts. Infrastructure-led deal counts among categories (7), and there were no CeFi or Gaming deals to end the year....
CORE STRATEGY: FOCUS ON MAJORS, KEEP HEAD ON SWIVEL UNTIL BONDS/DXY RELENT We think it's right to expect a bounce into year-end, potentially starting tomorrow if PCE data comes in soft. In our view, this cycle is far from over, but until bonds find a bottom and the USD tops, it’s likely best for the more tactical investor to stay nimble and prepared for opportunities upon confirmation of this trend...