Crypto Research
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SUMMARY MARKET STRATEGY:Crypto markets had a tough week as global risky assets sold off on coronavirus fears but crypto investors shouldn't panic. WINNERS & LOSERS:Winner: Argon's Tim Draper investment may hold promise for future crypto legal governance.Loser: Ripple's illegal security lawsuit claims may mean potential upside isn't justified by regulatory risks. WEEKLY RANT:Why the announcement "Startup Tokenizes $2.2B in Commercial Real Estate Through Polymath" makes me cringe. FINANCING ACTIVITY:Copper. co...
FUNDSTRAT CRYPTO FX INDICES: A-D LINES ARE IN CONFIRMED UPTRENDS WITH MID-CAP CONTINUING TO LEAD Cryptocurrency breadth, as measured by the Fundstrat FS CryptoFX Advance-Decline lines continue to build positively across the large-cap (FX10), mid-cap (FX40) and small-cap (FX 250) indices. The performance of the FS CryptoFX40 Mid-cap index versus the FX10 Large-cap index is particularly noteworthy, having established a series of higher highs confirming a longer-term upside trend reversal....
January 29, 2020 One of the biggest asset class surprises last year was the 92% gain in Bitcoin (BTC). Twelve months ago, few besides our shop would have credited such an outcome. So far in 2020 the cryptocurrency is continuing to roar ahead. Though it’s early in the year, BTC is up 26% YTD, already the best showing of any major asset class, and building on that big 2019 move....
WEEKLY RECAP...Bakkt futures hit ATH, will launch options contracts on 12/9/19Is quantum computing a threat to BTC?Several hurdles expected to improve by year end; still risk-off for BTC CENTER STORY 1. BAKKT FUTURES JUST NEEDED A LITTLE TIME... OPTIONS LAUNCH COMING NEXT BAKKT FUTURES DAILY TRADING VOLUME HAS TAKEN OFF. WAS MEDIA TOO QUICK TO JUDGE? WOULDN'T BE FIRST TIME. Variations of "Bakkt futures volume has been disappointing" have been a...
WEEKLY RECAP...Libra Association dropouts are avoiding regulatory spotlightThe BTC rich are getting richerBTC's 4-hour RSI becoming oversold as BTC tests key 7.7K support CENTER STORY 1. LIBRA MEMBERSHIP IS NOT FOR THE FAINT OF HEART NO ONE KNOWS FOR SURE WHAT WILL HAPPEN WITH LIBRA. BUT WE DO KNOW DROPOUTS HAVE RETURNED TO "BUSINESS AS USUAL." The Libra Association had their inaugural meeting on Monday, October 14th. There are 21...
WEEKLY RECAP...EOS settled with the SEC related to the sale of its ERC-20 tokens.ETH testnet split into two chains - shouldn't affect upgrade timeline CENTER STORY 1. EOS EMERGES FROM ICO ERA A SURVIVOR BLOCK. ONE (EOS) ANNOUNCED A SETTLEMENT WITH SEC FOR $24 MILLION Block. one (organization backing EOS) settled with the SEC for conducting an unregistered securities offering in 2017-2018. Specifically, the SEC judged EOS' ERC-20 tokens were...
WEEKLY RECAP...The crypto market crashed and no one really knows whyBTC SegWit adoption jumped to >50% = network throughput improvingWith BTC below $9.3k support level, the next key support is now $7.5-8k CENTER STORY 1. THE FOUR HORSEMAN VISITED CRYPTO THE FOUR HORSEMAN OF A CRYPTO FLASH CRASH SEEN PASSING THROUGH This was a rough start to the week for crypto brought on by a confluence of "risk off" events, but it's hard to say...
WEEKLY RECAP...OKEx Korea delisting all privacy tokens shows regulators tightening grip around cryptoHedera mainnet launch on 9/16; project valued at ~$5.3B (total supply)Watch for Bitcoin Misery Index to fall closer to 50 for better risk/reward profile CENTER STORY 1. REGULATORS ARE SLOWLY WRAPPING THEIR TENTACLES AROUND POCKETS OF CRYPTO OKEX KOREA DELISTING ALL PRIVACY COINS ON OCTOBER 10TH DUE TO VIOLATION OF FINANCIAL ACTION TASK FORCE'S "TRAVEL RULE" OKEx Korea...
WEEKLY RECAP...Ahead of the Bakkt launch on 9/23, the Fed Chair Powell piled on to the negative sentiment currently permeating crypto-markets.Network data monitoring tools have improved significantly over the past year — a big plus for data transparency in the space.Our model suggests total breakeven BTC mining cost = $8500; cash breakeven cost = $7300. CENTER STORY 1. FED'S CRITCISM OF CRYPTO OVERSHADOWS FIRST STAGE OF BAKKT PRODUCT LAUNCH POWELL SKEPTICAL...
By Thomas J. Lee, June 18, 2019 Tuesday’s announcement by Facebook (FB) that it is developing Libra, a new crypto currency, could, in hindsight, could come to be seen as an inflection point for crypto currencies, and a real disruptor to fiat money. It’s been clear that technology would eventually target financial services for disruption given the sheer opportunity, roughly some $8 trillion. Libra, a crypto currency project, is...