Crypto Research
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But unlike past weekends, Bitcoin barely responded to these headlines (see below). In fact, Bitcoin is indeed flat/rising over the long weekend: - at 4pm ET Friday (5/28), Bitcoin was ~$34,900 - at 3:50pm ET Sunday (5/30) when FT story "broke" Bitcoin was ~$36,000 - as of this writing at 4:30pm ET (5/31), Bitcoin is $36,900, +$900 vs FT headline In other words, despite another set of "negative headlines" Bitcoin...
Unpopular opinion --> We expect stable/rising prices. Setup for Bitcoin and crypto is "less bad" into the weekend = good.
_PS: HOW DOES BITCOIN SPILL OVER INTO EQUITIES?_ These crypto sell-offs have potential impacts on equity and broader markets, for several reasons: - many US crypto holders also own equities (ala Robinhood) - Bitcoin futures are traded by macro funds, hence, drawdowns/limit down moves impact macro markets - Bitcoin has become somewhat loosely connected to the equities, because both are "risk-on" assets -- more apparent these days
The weekly returns for the Rebel coins was obviously poor but do not overlook the returns achieved over the first 5 months of the year. ☀️Have a good long weekend, BitDigest will be back on Tuesday June 1st. THE HEADLINES MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS MARKET DATA THOUGHTS ON THE ECOSYSTEM DAILY CARTOON
Given the recent crypto market volatility, we are writing a bit more frequently to help ourselves and our readers better assess where the market may be headed. In our Sunday night note, we discussed how the market may be seeing an exhaustion of sellers. In our Monday night note, we discussed how that may have driven the market bounce we saw. On Tuesday and Wednesday (today), crypto markets have calmed...
Friday is the last day I will be sharing BitDigest with many of you. I occasionally like to change what I am doing with this daily letter and together with Fundstrat have decided to no longer circulate BitDigest to Fundstrat’s clients. This is bittersweet as I have enjoyed being a contributor to their team. I have been a Fundstrat client for several years and have no plans to change this relationship, but after nearly...
China crypto ban made the sell-off worse, but PBOC balance sheet growth matters more than posturing and is not the only key market driver - rally remains intact
In our crypto flash Monday night, we laid out 9 reasons we thought Bitcoin was close to a bottom around $40k. But yesterday crypto markets went for a wild ride. We got yet another sharp move lower below $30k but have since bounce back and are now at $41k. Part of this was due to leverage liquidations, but part of the move was also sparked by negative news of China banning crypto. Source:...
