What the Fed, inflation, tapering & rising rates could mean for the price of Bitcoin

Jun 17, 2021 • 3 Min Read

After bottoming on bad news a week ago, Bitcoin and crypto had been rallying heading into yesterday’s Fed meeting, but crypto markets fell slightly alongside other major asset classes following the Fed policy statement, and have remained roughly flat this morning.

The chart in this report is only accessible to members

Source: Fundstrat, Bloomberg

The Federal Reserve spooked some market participants with its commentary around inflation expectations, tapering and rising interest rates.

The chart in this report is only accessible to members
The chart in this report is only accessible to members

Source: Fundstrat, CNBC, New York Times

Inflation has been hot on the markets mind as of late. Recent CPI reports came in higher than some expected, and investors have been worried the latest numbers could cause the Fed to tighten policy sooner than anticipated.

Many investors view Bitcoin and crypto as a hedge against inflation. And, although we recognize that some analysts will debate this thesis, we do think there is a relationship here worth watching. Past Bitcoin bull market cycles have tended to occur alongside year over year increases in the Core CPI Index and bear market cycles have come as CPI has rolled over.

The chart in this report is only accessible to members

Source: Fundstrat, Bloomberg

Does this mean we think Bitcoin is an inflation hedge like gold or a safe haven like treasuries? Not really. We think this is more a result of Bitcoin and crypto being ri...

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