The Tide Pulling Out
The Bloodbath
The bloodbath that has persisted for the better part of the past seven months continued this weekend, with the market shedding an additional $200 billion in total market cap, falling below the $1 trillion mark for the first time since late 2020. Yesterday was the single biggest decline for bitcoin (-16%) since March 2020. At the time of writing (early morning hours of June 14th), there have been a total of $1.2 billion in liquidations of leveraged positions in the futures market.
We are witnessing a combination of macro forces and over-leveraged positions in the market to result in the forced selling of BTC and ETH.
First, a couple of notes on the macro landscape.
Rates
On Monday, we saw the yield curve invert briefly, for the second time this year, as the 10Y-2Y went negative.
Reports you may have missed
INFLOWS RESUME On Monday, market sentiments were rattled by a surprisingly strong manufacturing PMI figure, marking the first expansionary reading in 18 months. This led to a rise in rates, with risk assets across the board experiencing selloffs amid renewed inflation concerns and fears that the Federal Reserve might need to implement further measures to cool the economy. However, in our crypto comments video on Tuesday, we outlined a couple...
Adding RON and IMX As a Different Flavor of ETH-beta and Gaming Exposure (Core Strategy Rebalance)
MARKET SHRUGS AT HOT CPI The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data indicated a hotter inflationary environment than forecasted for February. Despite the surprise in the numbers, market participants appeared largely unmoved, suggesting that the potential impact had already been factored into their calculations prior to the release. This resilience reflects a broader sentiment that a rates-driven selloff, in response to the CPI figures, is not a significant near-term risk....
FLOWS BEGET MORE FLOWS We have recently discussed the potential return of crypto being correlated with equities due to the new category of market participants entering the fold. However, price action this week suggests that inflows into the BTC ETFs may be throwing water onto that theory. It seems apparent that, at least in the near-term, that the ETF flows narrative is gaining steam, and it is likely that the...
ETH GAINING RELATIVE MOMENTUM Given the success of Solana and Bitcoin's persistent dominance in this bull market, many have been quick to write off ETH. There is no doubt that ETH faces its own set of challenges, including a complex modular stack and potential cannibalization by Layer 2 solutions, which, while crucial to ETH's scaling roadmap, can sometimes fragment liquidity and users. Despite these issues, ETH continues to advance along...
Articles Read 1/1
🎁 Unlock 1 extra article by joining our Community!
You’ve reached your limit of 1 free monthly articles. Please enter your email to unlock 1 more articles.
Already have an account? Sign In b934fe-6b17e1-9ad2af-681d58-e4421b
Already have an account? Sign In b934fe-6b17e1-9ad2af-681d58-e4421b
