Crypto Quarterly Portfolio Strategy Q1 2021: Bull market intact as stocks, high yield and capital flows signal further risk-on ahead of landmark Coinbase IPO

Apr 8, 2021 • 10 Min Read

In this crypto weekly note, we’re giving a more comprehensive Q1 end update covering prior recommendations and current market views.

  • Bitcoin and crypto had a strong March quarter
  • Stocks and high yield are signaling risk-on for crypto
  • Long GBTC NAV discount is the new BTC premium arb trade
  • Bitcoin dominance falling as crypto capital flows push altcoins higher
  • Smaller to mid-cap cyclicals offering high-risk high-reward crypto market beta
  • Coinbase IPO is landmark moment for the crypto industry - is Wall Street consensus, right?
  • We remain bullish on Bitcoin and crypto through balance of the year.

Bitcoin consolidating around ATH while risk-on assets signal continuation of the crypto bull market

Since our last market update note, Bitcoin has rebounded post options expiration on March 26th and prices have been consolidating near ATHs for the last several days.

The chart in this report is only accessible to members

Source: Tradingview (Date: 4/7/2021)


March was a strong month for Bitcoin which was pushed higher by a long list of positive highlights (courtesy of Ikigai Capital):

The chart in this report is only accessible to members

Source: Ikigai Asset Management

As we have written about before, we view Bitcoin and crypto as a risk-on asset. In our 2021 Crypto Outlook we pointed to how Bitcoin has historically performed best when the stock market and high yield bond (l...

Unlock this article by joining our Community!

An FSI Pro, or FSI Crypto subscription is required in order to access this content.

*Free trial available only on a monthly plan

Already a member?

We accept crypto via BitPay for yearly subscriptions.

Choose one of our yearly plans to save nearly 15%
Macro + Crypto

FSI Pro

The Complete Package

FSI Macro + FSI Crypto

from $219/mo

First Month Free!

Macro

FSI Macro

from $169/mo

First Month Free!

What’s included?

WEBINARS AND MEDIA

Webinars

We host over 12 LIVE webinars per year with our research team and high-profile special guests. Incredible value and market insights!

WEEKLY

COMING SOON

Fireside Chats

Weekly interviews with our research heads about market opportunities and important updates.

RESEARCH

WEEKDAYS

Tom Lee's First Word

The best market research out there -- on a near-daily basis.

ON MARKET EVENTS

Tom Lee's Intraday Word

These are released periodically after crucial market developments.

DAILY

Daily Technical Strategy

Daily commentary on market trends and short term opportunities.

WEEKLY

Wall Street Whispers

Exclusive insights based on discussions with institutional clients.

WEEKLY

Quantitative Strategy

Quantitative market research utilizing industry-leading analytical methods.

WEEKLY

US Policy

Weekly update on developments in Washington DC and how they may impact Wall Street.

WEEKLY

Weekly Roadmap

Weekly summary of market events and updates on our key theses.

EARNINGS SEASON

Earnings Daily

A multi-faceted update of earnings developments.

UPDATED BI-WEEKLY

Signal From Noise

Highlights timely market themes and sectors with corresponding stocks, cutting through the day-to-day market “noise” for a distinct perspective.

STOCK LISTS

UPDATED MONTHLY

FSI Sector Allocation

A sector allocation strategy that is designed to outperform the S&P 500 while taking minimal risk.

UPDATED MONTHLY

Factor Strategy

List of ETFs based on quantitative models that should outperform the S&P 500 on a monthly basis.

UPDATED MONTHLY

Newton's Upticks

Technically derived, intermediate-term picks of attractive risk/reward opportunities from the S&P 500.

AND MORE!

FSI Academy

Thematic investment stock picks that aim to outperform the S&P 500.

Community Questions

We gather your inquiries and answer them in the most scalable way. Hear directly from our research principals!

Community Interviews

Get questions answered directly by our research heads and guest speakers.

Get access to all the macro research on FS Insight

First Month Free!

Crypto

FSI Crypto

from $79/mo

First Month Free!

What’s included?

WEBINARS AND MEDIA

Webinars

Ongoing webinars exploring crypto opportunities, in depth research, and exclusive research offerings from our team of analysts and leading cryptocurrency firms.

WEEKLY

Crypto Comments

Digestible videos expanding on important market events and metrics that are shaping cryptocurrency markets.

RESEARCH

DAILY

Crypto Market Update

Stay on top of the crypto markets with macro commentary, technical analysis, and the most relevant news.

INTRA MONTH

Crypto First Word from Tom Lee

Hear directly from Tom Lee about important cryptocurrency developments.

WEEKLY

Crypto Technical Strategy

From Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana to other coins, our Head of Technical Strategy highlights important price movement to help give you an edge.

WEEKLY

Crypto Strategy

A must-read summarizing our key thoughts about the crypto market, price action, and developing trends.

WEEKLY

Funding Fridays

Are you looking for investment opportunities in the crypto space? We explore early-stage crypto opportunities in this note about where the smart money is being invested!

WEEKLY

COMING SOON

Crypto Events

Never miss another conference, a high-impact software update, or an event that could be market-moving!

NTRA-MONTH

Deep Research Reports

Our consulting business delivers incredible deep research reports to highlight the economics and viability of exciting crypto projects.

WEEKLY

Crypto Strategy

Keep track of bitcoin sentiment to plan your digital assets strategy.

AND MORE!

FSI Academy

Our main goal is to make you a better investor! This series will guide you through key financial concepts and topics in an understandable way.

Community Questions

We gather your inquiries and answer them in the most scalable way. Hear directly from our research principals!

Community Interviews

Get questions answered directly by our research heads and guest speakers.

Get access to all the Crypto research on FS Insight

First Month Free!

Reports you may have missed

Sign in to read the report!

We have detected you are an active member!

Ray: 7584e7-ae0e4f-6a2286-e059cf-305f08