Crypto Weekly (Okt. 2nd, 2019)
Weekly recap…
- EOS settled with the SEC related to the sale of its ERC-20 tokens.
- ETH testnet split into two chains – shouldn’t affect upgrade timeline
Center Story
1. EOS emerges from ICO era a survivor
Block.one (EOS) announced a settlement with SEC for $24 million
Block.one (organization backing EOS) settled with the SEC for conducting an unregistered securities offering in 2017-2018. Specifically, the SEC judged EOS’ ERC-20 tokens were sold to investors with the expectation of profit.
The settlement was for $24 million. This pales in comparison to the ~$4 billion EOS raised but that’s how much was raised globally. Hard to say how much of that came from US investors.
The ERC-20 tokens were what the SEC deemed to be securities, not the underlying EOS blockchain tokens that were subsequently launched.
EOS’ settlement with the SEC shows…
- Good lawyers matter. And cooperating with regulatory bodies > not cooperating with regulatory bodies (see: Kik).
- Don’t expect the old ICO market to return, despite what some say was a lenient settlement.
- One lawyer believes that the SEC has implicitly deemed EOS to be non-securities. If true, this means EOS has come out of the ICO era a suvivor with a very big war chest.(Source: BitcoinExchangeGuide)
Network Monitor
2. ETH testnet forked into two chains after “Istanbul” upgrade came earlier than expected
“Istanbul” is the first of a two-part Ethereum network upgrade (aka planned hard fork). To ensure everything goes smoothly, a testnet (this time dubbed “Ropsten”) is activated prior to the mainnet.
Ropsten was scheduled to activate around October 2nd, but because activation is based on a specified block number rather than actual date, there is a margin of error around the activation window.
In this case, the testnet was expected on 10/2, but instead activated on 9/30 due to faster than anticipated block fonfirmation times. Some miners therefore continued mining the old chain while others mined the new one. This has resulted in a testnet chain split. ETH core developers will discuss Istanbul’s testnet activation on 10/4.
- This shows the difficulty involved in managing large, distributed POW projects such as ETH. The current split was the result of an inability to coordinate between miners due to an unanticipated early activation of the testnet.
- Istanbul is planned in two stages. First comes the integration of six EIP’s scheduled for this month. The second phase is the activation of the main net, planned for 2020.
Markets
3. Market Movers (over past 7 days)
Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin -14.8% to $8293.87
Ethereum -10.9% to $179.87
XRP -4.7% to $0.255933
EOS -20.0% to $2.96
Litecoin -16.1% to $56.06
Bitcoin Cash -22.2% to $228.12
Binance Coin -18.6% to $15.86
Stellar -1.8% to $0.06144
TRON -9.7% to $0.014524
Dash -18.7% to $71.09
Fiat Currencies
Dollar Index (DXY) +0.81% to 99.13
EUR -0.74% to 1.09 USD/EUR
GBP -1.34% to 1.23 USD/GBP
JPY -0.60% to 0.0093 USD/JPY
CNY Onshore -0.44% to 0.1399 USD/CNY
CNH Offshore -0.50% to 0.14 USD/CNH
CHF -0.85% to 1.0062 USD/CHF
Commodities
Gold -3.2% to $1483.2
WTI Crude -6.6% to $53.51
Brent Crude -6.7% to $58.86
4. Top Tweets
Education
5. Required Reading
Dissecting the Block.one settlement – Katherine Wu
I compiled both the SEC settlement order AND the settlement letter that their lawyer sent to the SEC. And annotated it. Trust me, you’re going to want to read this.
Coin Metrics’ State of the Network: Issue 19 – Coin Metrics
A double header this week: This week’s issue has two weekly features. The first is about the recent market sell-off, and the second is about the recent BTC hash rate dip.
About Our Asset Rating Framework – Crypto Rating Council
Because digital assets are generally distinct from traditional securities, determination of whether a digital asset be deemed a security typically focuses on whether or not the digital asset is an “investment contract”.
Maker Dai: Stable, but not scalable – Hasu
The least understood thing about stablecoins is how they come into existence. Who creates the supply of Tether, USDC or Dai that you can buy on your favorite exchange?
Proof of Stake’s security model is being dramatically misunderstood – Viktor Bunin
The biggest obstacle to understanding its security model is applying existing security frameworks to it. More specifically, the only security model we’ve come close to understanding is Proof of Work (PoW) so we take its security characteristics and transfer them over to Proof of Stake (PoS) to try and compare. This article will go into how these security models are different, why PoW attacks are ineffective in PoS systems, and what some of the real risks to PoS look like.
Events
6. What’s happening in next week
Wednesday, October 2
b.Tokyo Blockchain Conference
Disrupt SF 2019
Thursday, October 3
Global Blockchain Summit Denver
Friday, October 4
—
Monday, October 7
Japan Blockchain Week
API:WORLD
Tuesday, October 8
Devcon 5
Wednesday, October 9
Blockchain DApp Expo 2019
Reports you may have missed
CORE STRATEGY Most of the risks that prompted us to turn cautious in early February still persist, so we believe it’s right to remain patient. However, the near-term (2–4 weeks) setup is starting to look compelling for a tactical rally as sentiment is miserable, liquidity conditions are improving on the margin, a lot of risk has already been priced in, and we’ve seen serious capitulation and deleveraging. All eyes will...
MSTR Reloading Presents Opportunity for Bounce, But Broader Picture Remains the Same
CORE STRATEGY There is a chance that MSTR flows spark a short-term bounce here, but assets further out on the risk curve continue to face headwinds from ongoing uncertainty surrounding trade and monetary policy. Although the current administration takes a pro-crypto stance, there appears to be no immediate catalyst to revive market enthusiasm. We still anticipate that crypto will outperform this year, but until we see further progress on trade/monetary...
CORE STRATEGY With lingering trade war talks and robust economic data dissuading a dovish Fed pivot, we think the potential for downside volatility remains elevated. While regulatory developments and institutional adoption continue to bolster the medium- to long-term outlook, no immediate “good news” seems likely. Nevertheless, we still expect crypto to outperform this year. Until we see flows return to crypto, raising cash/trimming altcoin positions appears prudent (BTC dominance higher)....
CORE STRATEGY With the looming threat of an escalating trade war and economic data robust enough to discourage a more dovish Fed stance, we believe the upside risk for the DXY and yields has increased in Q1. Moreover, the market remains highly volatile and headline-driven, inhibiting the crypto market from gaining meaningful momentum. While regulatory developments are a key medium- to a long-term tailwind for crypto, it is unlikely that...
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