Bitcoin Rises Above $66k, Base Surpasses $2B TVL
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CME Basis Suggests We Are Near a Tradable Low, Plus Some Thoughts on Positioning Ahead of the Election
A ROUGH STRETCH AMID RISING UNCERTAINTY SKEWS RISKS TO THE UPSIDE The past five trading days have been challenging for the crypto market, marked by significant uncertainty stemming from various geopolitical and economic events. Among the notable sources of market distress are:GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS: Iran’s missile attack on Israel has led to heightened anticipation of an Israeli response, with oil prices spiking to $74.NATURAL DISASTERS: A devastating hurricane in the Southeast...
CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE Crypto prices have rebounded slightly following yesterday's sharp selloff, with BTC climbing back above $61,000 and SOL moving above $145, while ETH is lagging, trading around $2,400. Among today's outperformers is SUI, which appears resilient despite a $115 million token unlock yesterday. Oil is partially retracing its early rally, gold is lower on the day, and yields are moving higher, suggesting at least a temporary reversal of...
MARKET UPDATE Markets are selling off in the first day of Q4, fueled by geopolitical fears as tensions rise in the mid-east. The SPY 0.24% and QQQ 0.36% have dropped 1.14% and 1.92%, respectively, while the VIX has surged over 17%. XAU and DXY are gaining as investors move towards safe-havens. Crypto assets have also sold off, with BTC briefly dropping below $62k and ETH below $2.5k. Among altcoins, SUI is showing...
PBOC ONE-UPPING THE FED This week, China’s central bank initiated what we believe are the first steps in a broader effort to stimulate the economy, which is struggling to meet its annual growth target of around 5%. These new measures are aimed at reviving economic activity and restoring confidence, especially in the real estate and equity markets, both of which are facing significant challenges. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC)...