Risk Assets Surge, Block to Begin DCA'ing Bitcoin

May 3, 2024

As outlined in this week’s Core Strategy note, our “Buy in May” thesis was kept intact following the Fed’s announcement of tapering QT and a dovish FOMC meeting, helping yields begin to roll over. This morning’s non-farm payrolls data has helped fuel further yield deterioration with a large downside surprise of 175k payrolls vs. 238k expected, and the unemployment rate ticking up to 3.9% (3.8% exp.). The US10Y (-1.68%) briefly fell below 4.5% and risk assets are surging with the SPY -0.26%  and QQQ 0.80%  gaining 1.23%, and 1.99%, also getting help from Apple’s 7% gain following a Q1 earnings beat. Crypto assets are sharing in Friday’s optimism, with BTC -0.66% (+4.75%) trading just below $62k and ETH 0.29% (+3.15%) rising to $3,080. Toncoin (TON -89.88% ), Telegram’s blockchain network, is one of the top performers today, gaining 8.88% to $5.6. Pantera Capital disclosed an investment into TON yesterday, iterating their belief in the network’s potential due to accessibility to Telegram’s 900 million monthly active users.

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CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE Crypto prices have rebounded slightly following yesterday's sharp selloff, with BTC -0.66% climbing back above $61,000 and SOL -2.61% moving above $145, while ETH 0.29% is lagging, trading around $2,400. Among today's outperformers is SUI 0.01% , which appears resilient despite a $115 million token unlock yesterday. Oil is partially retracing its early rally, gold is lower on the day, and yields are moving higher, suggesting at least a temporary reversal of...

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