BTC to New ATH Market Cap, Negative ETF Flows on Friday (But There's a Twist)

Mar 4, 2024

BTC has soared to a new all-time high market cap, and is currently hovering just above $67k, with its sights set on $69k. Meanwhile, ETH is slightly behind, inching up to just under $3600. The market appears to be adopting a barbell strategy, with Bitcoin maintaining its strength, yet beyond meme coins, few assets are significantly outperforming. The sustained rallies in DOGE, BONK, PEPE, and SHIB unmistakably signals the resurgence of speculative enthusiasm in the market. On the crypto equities side, COIN is outperforming, reaching a new YTD peak and its highest level in over two years, while MSTR is also surging, potentially aided by a short squeeze. Interestingly, the miners are not faring as well, mostly showing declines for the day. This could be attributed to several factors, including the massive rally they enjoyed last year, coupled with a persistently high 10Y yield, and lingering concerns about the halving event and its impact on their profitability due to the reduced block reward. We still view these as outperformers this year. In traditional markets, equities are showing mixed performance, with major indices remaining relatively flat so far today. Interest rates are up, but the DXY remains flat. Non-digital gold continues its ascent as well, marking another YTD high today. A wealth of macro data is on the agenda this week, including Services PMI tomorrow, JOLTs on Wednesday, an ECB rate decision on Thursday, and additional employment data on Friday.

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MARKET UPDATE Crypto is broadly lower today as geopolitical conflict continues to weigh on risk assets, with BTC 0.37% falling to $60k and ETH -2.86% approaching the low $2,300s. Aptos (APT N/A% ) is one of the few gainers in the top 100 tokens as they have strengthened their presence in Japan via an acquisition of HashPalette, a Japanese NFT service provider and developer of Palette Chain. AAVE -5.98% is also showing slight gains following...

CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE Crypto prices have rebounded slightly following yesterday's sharp selloff, with BTC 0.37% climbing back above $61,000 and SOL -3.22% moving above $145, while ETH -2.86% is lagging, trading around $2,400. Among today's outperformers is SUI -4.60% , which appears resilient despite a $115 million token unlock yesterday. Oil is partially retracing its early rally, gold is lower on the day, and yields are moving higher, suggesting at least a temporary reversal of...

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