Picking Our Spots (Core Strategy Rebalance)

Apr 15, 2025 • 5 Min Read

Last week, we wrote that the administration’s response to bond market volatility implied a critical shift in ongoing trade negotiations. While this does not eliminate the economic risks that remain, as investment and hiring decisions are effectively frozen, it does clarify two important points: (1) the administration appears more focused on shifting trade away from China rather than overhauling global trade entirely, and (2) it is aware of market volatility and seems unwilling to risk a deep recession or depression in exchange for trade wins.

With this in mind, and given a conservatively posi...

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