Digital Assets Weekly: August 11th
For a full copy of this report in PDF format please click here
Market Analysis
For the second time in two weeks, Bitcoin climbed above $12,000. Overall, it finished the week ended 8/11 up 5.6% at $11,878. Notably, it traded above $11,000 for the entire week for this first time since August 2019.
Bitcoin led all other major crypto assets by 3% - 9% this week. Ripple (XRP) was the worst performing asset and declined 4.8% on the week.
FS Crypto FX 40 and FS Crypto FX 250 led all other size-based indices by ~10% this week. FS Crypto FX 40 outperformance was driven by Tezos (+39.7%), Chainlink (+46.7%), and IOTA (+21.2%) while outperformance of the FX Crypto FX 250 was driven by MINDOL (+ 69.3%) and Lisk (+21.6%).
Bitcoin’s Mkt Cap/CMR ratio increased 5.2% week over week from 11.0x to 11.5x.
Bitcoin’s Mkt Cap/RV ratio increased 4.0% week over week from 11.0x to 11.5x.
Digital Asset Investment Vehicles and Stocks
Reports you may have missed
CORE STRATEGY: REMAINING TACTICALLY CAUTIOUS, TGA RUNDOWN + EARLY JAN FLOWS COULD PRODUCE NEEDED SPARK In our view, this cycle is far from over. However, until bonds find a bottom and the USD peaks, it’s prudent for more tactically-minded crypto investors to remain nimble and ready to capitalize on opportunities once a trend reversal is confirmed. While this could happen as early as next week due to early-January inflows, additional...
CORE STRATEGY: FOCUS ON MAJORS, KEEP HEAD ON SWIVEL UNTIL BONDS/DXY RELENT We think it's right to expect a bounce into year-end, potentially starting tomorrow if PCE data comes in soft. In our view, this cycle is far from over, but until bonds find a bottom and the USD tops, it’s likely best for the more tactical investor to stay nimble and prepared for opportunities upon confirmation of this trend...
CORE STRATEGY Our base case assumes that the macro environment will remain accommodative for crypto through year-end. However, in light of recent market action, we remain alert for signs of a local top (not a cycle top). That said, it is difficult to justify a risk-averse stance at this stage and think it is right to lean into this altcoin rally. Source: TradingView, Fundstrat Source: TradingView, Fundstrat STRONG DOLLAR +...
Today's employment numbers broadly met investor expectations, placating a nervous market. Risk assets rallied, aligning with our view that yesterday's de-risking would not persist through today. Yields continued their downward trajectory, and Fed funds futures also declined, reflecting the market's adherence to the Fed's dovish messaging. Yields Falling: Source: TradingView Fed Funds Futures Showing More Cuts: Source: TradingView Oil prices nearing YTD lows likely assisted in alleviating near-term concerns about...