CFTC Sues CZ, Polygon zkEVM Launches, MSTR Buys More Bitcoin
Market Update
- Major equity indices opened higher on Monday morning, initially responding well to the announced acquisition of SVB by First Citizens Bank, which brought some life to bank stocks. However, the indices have since retraced their gains, with the S&P 500 trading 20 basis points higher and the Nasdaq turning negative, down 70 basis points since market open. The market continues to face rate volatility, with the U.S. 2Y and U.S. 10Y moving substantially higher. As a result, bond volatility, as reflected in the MOVE index, continues to rise, surpassing 170. Meanwhile, the crypto market is digesting the news of a CFTC lawsuit against crypto exchange Binance and its CEO CZ for willful evasion of U.S. laws (more on this below). Despite a sharp drop following the announcement, $BTC is holding above the $27k level, down 2.3% since yesterday, while $ETH is trading above $1.7k with a 2.4% decrease. Most altcoins are also trading lower in line with large-cap assets. On-chain derivatives names such as $GMX and $DYDX appear to be catching a bid in the wake of the Binance news.
- The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed a lawsuit against Binance, the world's largest crypto exchange. The regulator alleges that the exchange has offered illegal leveraged trading services to U.S. customers without registering as a futures commission merchant. The CFTC seeks to impose penalties, enjoin the company from further violations, and require Binance to disgorge any gains it obtained from the alleged misconduct. Binance has not yet commented on the lawsuit. Among the interesting takeaways from the filing, the CFTC names ETH (in addition to $BTC, $LTC, $BUSD, and $USDT) as commodities just weeks after the DOJ alleged the opposite. As we have discussed in our notes this year, continued regulatory actions against centralized entities in the space should continue to be expected. However, they should not necessarily preclude digital asset prices, particularly bitcoin, from performing well.
- Polygon Labs has introduced its innovative zero-knowledge-based rollup network, Polygon zkEVM ($MATIC), designed to enhance compatibility with Ethereum apps while boosting transaction speed and reducing costs. Ethereum founder, Vitalik Buterin, is set to initiate the first symbolic transaction on the network. The zkEVM, which aligns with Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), allows developers to utilize existing tools and infrastructure efficiently. Over 50 projects across crypto, web3, and gaming sectors, including notable platforms Uniswap and Aave, are keen to deploy on this advanced network. Although Polygon Labs has thoroughly conducted several independent and internal audits to strengthen zkEVM's security, users are advised to exercise caution since the network remains in its beta phase. Polygon zkEVM is among a few pioneering ZK-rollup networks, such as ZkSync's Era, that have successfully launched on the mainnet.
Polygon Daily Active Users Since Inception (Token Terminal)
- MicroStrategy's ($MSTR) wholly-owned subsidiary MacroStrategy has struck a deal to voluntarily prepay a $205 million term loan from Silvergate Bank for $161 million, according to an 8-K filing (22% discount). The loan was issued one year ago, had a 3-year maturity, and bore interest at a floating rate equal to the SOFR 30-Day Average plus 3.70%. MacroStrategy's repayment led to the termination of the Credit Agreement and the release of all assets serving as collateral, including around 34,619 bitcoins. MicroStrategy also disclosed that between February 16th, and March 23rd, it acquired 6,455 bitcoins for $150 million, bringing its total holdings to 138,955 bitcoins at an average purchase price of $29,817 per bitcoin. The company financed this debt repayment and BTC purchase by issuing 1.4 million class A common shares under a Sales Agreement for about $339.4 million in net proceeds. These actions shore up the company's balance sheet and signify that there is still a market for new MicroStrategy equity. This also means that those 34k BTC serving as collateral on the Silvergate loan are now unencumbered.
Daily Technical Strategy
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy
Chainlink has joined a handful of other coins in pulling back to new multi-day lows Monday, postponing its rally back to $9.50. A large daily range which takes prices to the lowest levels since 3/17 likely will lead to additional weakness in $LINK in the days/weeks to come. Near-term, the most important area of support lies near 3/10 lows at $5.92 up to $6, and it's thought to be important to hold on further weakness. LINK has largely been range-bound for the last 10 months, but the stalling out in its rally followed by Monday's decline signals further consolidation before this can start to advance. Momentum indicators like MACD remain positive but would turn back negative on the inability to recoup Monday's decline this week. Key upside levels lie at $7.85-$8 near former highs, then $9.50. Until this area at $9.50 can be exceeded, LINK will remain neutral on an intermediate-term basis.
Daily Important Metrics
All metrics as of March 27, 2023 12:00 PM
All Funding rates are on bps
Crypto Prices
Symbol | Market Cap | Last Price | Daily Change | Year to Date | Relative to BTC YTD |
BTC | $524B | $27,115 | ↓ -2.43% | ↑ 64% | |
ETH | $210B | $1,715 | ↓ -2.76% | ↑ 43% | ↓ -21% |
ADA | $12B | $0.3424 | ↓ -3.23% | ↑ 39% | ↓ -25% |
DOGE | $9.6B | $0.0724 | ↓ -2.52% | ↑ 3.24% | ↓ -60% |
MATIC | $9.5B | $1.04 | ↓ -4.54% | ↑ 37% | ↓ -27% |
SOL | $7.6B | $19.68 | ↓ -5.15% | ↑ 99% | ↑ 35% |
DOT | $6.8B | $5.81 | ↓ -3.35% | ↑ 34% | ↓ -30% |
LINK | $3.5B | $6.85 | ↓ -4.50% | ↑ 23% | ↓ -40% |
NEAR | $1.6B | $1.86 | ↓ -4.35% | ↑ 46% | ↓ -18% |
Exchange Traded Products (ETPs)
Symbol | Premium to Nav | Last Price | Daily Change | Year to Date | Relative to BTC YTD |
GBTC | ↓ -36% | $15.35 | ↓ -4.06% | ↑ 85% | ↑ 21% |
BITW | ↓ -58% | $10.10 | ↓ -2.42% | ↑ 88% | ↑ 24% |
ETHE | ↓ -52% | $7.73 | ↓ -5.27% | ↑ 62% | ↓ -1.29% |
BTCC | ↑ 0.32% | $5.00 | ↓ -2.72% | ↑ 65% | ↑ 1.34% |
News
QUICK BITS
Decrypt.co First Citizens Bank Enters Deal With FDIC to Buy Silicon Valley Bank Silicon Valley Bank's acquisition affirms First Citizens' "commitment to support the integrity of our nation's banking system," said its CEO. |
MARKET DATA
Decrypt.co MicroStrategy Repays Silvergate Loan, Spends $150M Buying More Bitcoin A recent filing with the SEC revealed that Microstrategy has conveniently paid off its loan with the failed Silvergate Bank. |
THOUGHTS AND OPINIONS
CoinDesk Bitcoin Has Benefited From U.S. Dollar Liquidity to Support Banks: Morgan Stanley Traders on Binance now set the daily price for BTC with the crypto exchange’s share of trading volume reaching 80%, the report said. |
CoinDesk Franklin Templeton Sees Web3 Driving Next Wave of Tech Innovations In a new report, the asset management giant outlines tech-driven megatrends that are shaping society, including decentralization. |
NFTS
CoinDesk Wassies NFT Prices Surge as Crypto Twitter Lore-Themed Hotel Opens in Singapore A room at the Wassie-themed hotel goes for $129 a night as of Monday. |
The Block Gucci and Yuga Labs team up to ‘blur boundaries between physical and digital’ The move from fashion house Gucci comes as NFT brands search far and wide for new revenue streams. The post Gucci and Yuga Labs team... |
MINING
Decrypt.co 'Skull of Satoshi' Artist Says He Was 'Wrong' About Bitcoin Mining The “Skull of Satoshi” creator said Bitcoin's environmental impact is not “a simple black-and-white” issue” as he originally believed. |
WEB 3.0
The Block Polygon Labs unveils zkEVM Layer 2 to help scale Ethereum Developers from Polygon unveiled their Layer 2 scaling solution, Polygon zkEVM, which is a zero-knowledge-based rollup network that is natively compatible with ... |
Decrypt.co DYdX Reveals Launch Date for Move From Ethereum to Cosmos After SushiSwap, DeFi exchange dYdX is also making the leap to Cosmos, citing slow transaction speeds on Ethereum. |
HACKS, EXPLOITS, AND SCAMS
CoinDesk FTX Bankruptcy Estate Consolidates Arbitrum Airdrop Tokens Into Single Wallet A wallet controlled by the FTX bankruptcy estate has received tranches of the Arbitrum airdrop from several wallets linked to Alameda Research, on-chain data sh... |
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