Markets pullback after FOMC, MetaMask integrates Paypal

Dec 15, 2022
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Crypto Daily Report

December 15, 2022
THIS MESSAGE IS SENT SOLELY TO MEMBERS OF FS INSIGHT
Tickers on this report: BTC, ETH, MPL, TON
Market Update
  • BTC is currently trading near $17,400 while ETH trades at $1,270, down 2.22% and 2.82%, respectively. Stocks have dropped significantly through mid-day following a negative retail sales report which indicated sales fell 0.6% in November, a larger drop than the Dow Jones estimate of 0.3%. The S&P 500 dropped 2.67%, while the Nasdaq fell 3.08%. Markets are also digesting yesterday’s rate hike by the Fed, which saw them decrease the pace of hikes to 50 bps while increasing the expected terminal rate from ~4.6% last quarter to ~5.1%. The ECB and BoE also piled into the hawkishness, hiking in line with consensus by 50 bps. Toncoin (TON), messaging platform Telegram’s layer-1 blockchain, has been a notable outperformer rising 31.0% over the last week. The token’s outperformance has come from demand for Telegram’s new feature that allows users to buy an anonymous phone number with the token and create an account on the platform. The Telegram messenger team launched the sale of the numbers with the +888 prefix, which exist as collectibles on the ‘The Open Network.’ Despite the SEC fining Telegram $18.5 million in 2020 for raising $1.2 billion in an unregistered securities offering, the TON ecosystem has evolved independently while regularly integrating innovations with the Telegram messenger.  
  • ConsenSys, a leading Web3 software company, announced a partnership to integrate PayPal into its popular self-custodial wallet MetaMask. Users of the world’s leading wallet will now be able to seamlessly buy crypto directly in the wallet application instead of having to purchase and then transfer to their wallet from an exchange. Within the MetaMask app, users must log in directly to Paypal, where they can buy ETH or send existing ETH on their PayPal account directly to their MetaMask wallet. The feature will initially only be available to select U.S users on the mobile app version, with plans to expand to more users and the desktop browser extension early next year. PayPal has continued to broaden its crypto offerings, initially letting users buy and sell select cryptocurrencies in 2020 and enabling withdrawals in June this year. Collapses of major centralized custodians, such as FTX and Celsius, have led to rising demand for self-custody solutions.  
  • Undercollateralized DeFi lender Maple Finance released Maple 2.0, which aims to reduce friction in its defaults and liquidations procedures. Unlike most of DeFi, which operates with overcollateralized loans, Maple issues unsecured loans after diligence and approval from designated ‘pool delegates.’ Recently the protocol experienced two defaults totaling ~$40 million in loans following FTX’s blowup. The first was from Auros Global, which missed the 2400 wrapped ETH payment due on Dec. 1st and has begun to incur penalties following the 5-day grace period for defaults. Five days later, crypto hedge fund Orthogonal Trading indicated they had been “severely impacted by the collapse of FTX” and was shortly issued a notice of default on $36 million in loans. Defaults were previously covered by Maple’s MPL token stakers, which received interest for staking their holdings in an insurance fund in case of defaults. Under Maple’s new version, Pool Delegates must provide “first loss capital,” further aligning their interests with the lending pool contributors. While the market remains wide open for potential growth in blockchain-based unsecured lending, we highlighted risks in existing protocols in a DeFi Digest deep dive into the sector. 
Daily Technical Strategy
Markets pullback after FOMC, MetaMask integrates Paypal

Mark L. Newton, CMT

Head of Technical Strategy

Bitcoin looks to be turning lower coinciding with a similar move in global risk assets. Daily BTCUSD charts nearly reached a 50% retracement of the prior drawdown from early November and now show prices starting to stall out and roll back over. Key will be how prices react near $17k, with $16,888 being key to hold to prevent trends from turning down more sharply. This level lies at 12/12 lows and is considered quite important to hold. Any break of this likely results in BTCUSD turning lower to $16,900 or $16,500 which are two key support levels to consider important on weakness over the next week.

Daily Important Metrics

Crypto Size

Bullish signal is tied to the crypto market growing

Market Cap $855B $-18.3B (--2.09%)

BTC Dominance   39.53% (+0.27%)

Stable Coins

Increase in circulating stablecoins is a Bullish signal

In Circulation $66B (--0.00%)

In Exchanges $18B (--0.49%)

BTC Metrics

A decrease in Bitcoin on exchanges is bullish, indicates investors are moving coins to cold storage

# BTC in Exchanges 2.3M (-0.22%)

Funding Rates

Positive funding rates indicate traders are Bullish

Aggregate -0.0073% (-0.0104)

Binance -0.0097% (-0.0191)

Bitfinex 0.0229% (-0.0105)

Bitmex -0.0097% (-0.0191)

ByBit -0.0492% (-0.0268)

Deribit -0.0010% (-0.0006)

Huobi -0.0088% (-0.0033)

Kraken 0.0059% (-0.0015)

Mean -0.0073% (-0.0104)

OKex -0.0020% (-0.0140)

SENTIMENT

Markets pullback after FOMC, MetaMask integrates Paypal

BMI: 57 (3.64%)

Futures All Exchanges

A positive spread between Futures Prices and Spot Prices is Bullish

CME BTC Price $17,680 (-1.04%)

Spot Basis   $-40.07 (-0.23%)

Volume 1.4M (7.25%)

Open Interest  413,222 (2.20%)

Options All Exchanges

Higher open interest change in a bull market is bullish for the sector

Volume 26,740 (-3.72%)

Open Interest 287,405 (2.23%)

Volume Put/Call Ratio 0.7043 (-0.39%)

Open Interest Put/Call Ratio 0.5507 (0.43%)

All metrics as of December 15, 2022 9:21 AM
Crypto Prices
SymbolMarket CapLast PriceDaily ChangeYear to DateRelative to BTC YTD
BTC$335B$17,437-3.73%-63%
ETH$156B$1,272-4.81%-66%-3.11%
DOGE$11B$0.0866-5.01%-50%13%
ADA$10B$0.3018-3.32%-77%-14%
MATIC$7.7B$0.8858-4.28%-65%-2.10%
DOT$6.0B$5.20-2.05%-81%-18%
SOL$5.1B$13.96-4.86%-92%-29%
LINK$3.3B$6.54-4.68%-67%-4.18%
NEAR$1.4B$1.61-6.06%-89%-26%
FTM$650M$0.2346-6.00%-90%-27%
HNT$263M$1.94-0.86%-95%-32%

All prices as of December 15, 2022 12:45 PM

Exchange Traded Products (ETPs)
SymbolPremium to NavLast PriceDaily ChangeYear to DateRelative to BTC YTD
GBTC-35%$8.401.33%-75%-13%
BITW-43%$6.12-6.13%-84%-21%
ETHE-34%$5.76-5.42%-82%-19%
QBTC-8.17%$16.31-1.92%-73%-11%
BTCC-0.01%$3.22-2.42%-63%0.12%

All prices as of December 15, 2022 7:01 AM

Stocks
SymbolMarket CapLast PriceDaily ChangeYear to dateRelative to BTC YTD
PYPL$216B$69.66-4.09%-63%-0.29%
SQ$76B$65.74-7.73%-59%3.47%
COIN$65B$38.01-5.42%-85%-22%
SBNY$18B$116-0.74%-64%-1.44%
HOOD$15B$8.82-2.97%-50%12%
MSTR$6.1B$189-6.77%-65%-2.52%
SI$4.2B$18.790.43%-87%-25%
MARA$3.5B$4.39-6.99%-87%-24%
RIOT$2.7B$4.04-2.65%-82%-19%
MOGO$223M$0.5417-5.00%-84%-21%

All prices as of December 15, 2022 3:30 PM

News
QUICK BITS
Active ETH addresses reach all-time high of 1.4M
CryptoSlate
Glassnode data analyzed by CryptoSlate revealed that the number of active Ethereum (ETH) addresses reached a new all-time high (ATH) on December9. The post Active ETH addresses reach all-time high of 1.4M appeared first on CryptoSlate.
MARKET DATA
GBTC’s Discount Deepens to Near 50%
TrustNodes
GBTC's price has fallen further compared to global prices with the discount increasing amid no Genesis resolution and no Proof of Reserves.
DOSE OF DEFI
Maple Finance releases version 2.0 after $36 million default on platform
The Block
Uncollateralized lender Maple Finance has updated its protocol to a second version aimed at opening up the lending platform to a wider range of institutional borrowers, including those from outside the crypto industry.  Th...
SushiSwap Head Chef discloses $5.2M budget for DAO operation in 2023
CryptoSlate
SushiSwap Head Chef Jared Grey has disclosed that the DAO will spend about $5.2 million for its operating costs in 2023, with over 80% of the budget going to salaries. The post SushiSwap Head Chef discloses $5.2M budget for DAO operation in 2023 app...
FUNDRAISING AND M&A
Amber Group acquires Singapore crypto exchange Sparrow: Business Times
The Block
Amber Group acquires Singapore crypto platform Sparrow even as the company cuts costs. The post Amber Group acquires Singapore crypto exchange Sparrow: Business Times appeared first on The Block.
NFTS
NFT Marketplace Magic Eden Rolls Out Rewards Program
CoinDesk
After re-enforcing royalties earlier this month, the marketplace will reward users for their trading volumes on the marketplace.
PRODUCT UPDATES AND PARTNERSHIPS
MetaMask to allow users to purchase and transfer Ethereum via PayPal
Coin Telegraph
The service will initially be rolled out to select PayPal users within the United States.
HACKS, EXPLOITS, AND SCAMS
FTX used ‘weird Korean account’ to mask Alameda liabilities, CFTC says
The Block
Bankman-Fried directed FTX execs to mask Alameda's multi-billion dollar liability with an account referred to as “the weird Korean account." The post FTX used ‘weird Korean account’ to mask Alameda liabilities, CFTC says a...

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CRYPTO MARKET COMMENTARYBITCOIN REBOUNDED OVER THE WEEKEND, WITH PRICES FULLY RECOVERING FROM FRIDAY'S DRAWDOWN BY MONDAY MORNINg. BTC 3.53% is now trading just below $63k. Meanwhile, both ETH 1.10% and SOL 8.67% have lagged, trading at $3950 and $146, respectively. Altcoin flows seem to have shifted towards memecoins, which are outpacing the rest of the market today, with gains exceeding 5% from BONK 1.91% , DOGE -9.06% , and PEPE. This interest in memecoins likely stems from...

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