Crypto Daily Report – September 22

Sep 22, 2022
Most Important Daily
Data and News for Digital Assets

Crypto Daily Report

September 22, 2022
THIS MESSAGE IS SENT SOLELY TO MEMBERS OF FSINSIGHT
Tickers on this report: ALGO, AVAX, BTC, ETH, NEAR, SOL
Market Update
Crypto Daily Report – September 22

FSInsight

Digital Asset Research Team

  • After a sharp decline following the Fed's decision to raise interest rates by 75bps, crypto prices have found some footing this morning. At the time of writing, $BTC is up 2.70%, and $ETH is up 1.74%. Alt layer 1's such as $SOL, $AVAX, $NEAR, have performed relatively well, up 4.11%, 4.53%, and 3.65%, respectively. Alt Layer 1's have seen a boost relative to Ethereum since the Merge was completed on September 15th. Solana, for example, has appreciated 22% versus Ethereum since then. The best performing L1 today has been $ALGO, which is up 8.35%, potentially due to its partnership with FIFA ahead of the 2022 World Cup. Traditional markets slid lower today, SPX is down 0.82%, and NDQ is down 1.25%.
  • Wintermute, a leading crypto market maker, was the victim of a hack, costing the firm ~$160 million. The attack is thought to have been caused by an exploit of a service called Profanity, which generates "vanity addresses" for crypto wallets to make them easier to work with. A vulnerability in Profanity allowed a hacker with sufficient computing power to generate all possible keys and passwords created for a Profanity vanity address. Wintermute had gotten word of this vulnerability last week and took steps to "blacklist" their ten Profanity accounts, protecting the funds from being stolen. However, one of the ten accounts was not blocked, which most likely resulted in the hack. Wintermute CEO, Evgeny Gaevoy, posted an update on his Twitter account, providing updates on the hack and stating that Wintermute is still solvent and is not laying anyone off, changing its strategy, or raising emergency fundraising. Evgeny also tweeted that Wintermute is offering the hacker a 10% bounty on the funds stolen if they are returned.
  • CNBC reports that crypto exchange, FTX, is in talks with several investors, seeking to raise $1 billion at a valuation near its prior valuation of $32 billion. FTX's prior raise was a Series C round that rose $400 million in January. FTX plans to use the billion-dollar raise in additional dealmaking. FTX has been highly active this year, making deals with struggling firms, and buying distressed assets. Just this week, it was announced that FTX put in a bid of roughly $50M for Voyager's assets. 
Daily Technical Strategy
Crypto Daily Report – September 22

Mark L. Newton, CMT

Head of Technical Strategy

NOTE: Mark is out of the office today due to travel plans so the Technical Commentary from yesterday has been used below.


Avalanche has nearly made a complete round-trip to its rally off the June lows. Trends and momentum remain negatively sloped, and continued weakness looks likely down to retest June lows just under $13.75.  The reversal on 9/13, similar to US Equities, kicked off the most recent selloff, and the 9/18 violation of August lows looked particularly important in breaking the consolidation of recent weeks. This sets the stage for weakness down to test $13.75 into early October, a level which has heightened importance given the degree of rally off those lows three months ago. To have confidence of rallies, $AVAXUSD will need to demonstrate some stabilization and then turn back higher to recoup $17.50.  This should allow for a larger bounce into November. At present, momentum indicators like RSI have begun to show some positive divergence on this latest leg down, and AVAXUSD looks to be in the final stages of this most recent decline, which could be complete within the next couple weeks.

Daily Important Metrics

Crypto Size

Bullish signal is tied to the crypto market growing

Market Cap $932B $-935.6M (--0.10%)

BTC Dominance   39.45% (--0.28%)

Stable Coins

Increase in circulating stablecoins is a Bullish signal

In Circulation $68B (+0.01%)

In Exchanges $18B (+0.66%)

BTC Metrics

A decrease in Bitcoin on exchanges is bullish, indicates investors are moving coins to cold storage

# BTC in Exchanges 2.4M (0.15%)

Funding Rates

Positive funding rates indicate traders are Bullish

Aggregate -0.0061% (-0.0099)

Binance 0.0021% (0.0030)

Bitfinex 0.0087% (0.0027)

Bitmex 0.0021% (0.0030)

ByBit -0.0080% (-0.0153)

Deribit -0.0023% (-0.0006)

FTX -0.0160% (-0.0144)

Huobi 0.0079% (0.0054)

Kraken 0.0055% (-0.0026)

Mean -0.0061% (-0.0099)

OKex 0.0045% (-0.0019)

SENTIMENT

Crypto Daily Report – September 22

BMI: 53 (-3.64%)

Futures All Exchanges

A positive spread between Futures Prices and Spot Prices is Bullish

CME BTC Price $19,130 (-0.21%)

Spot Basis   $199 (1.05%)

Volume 3.0M (61%)

Open Interest  505,302 (0.27%)

Options All Exchanges

Higher open interest change in a bull market is bullish for the sector

Volume 36,848 (93%)

Open Interest 265,168 (3.52%)

Volume Put/Call Ratio 0.9585 (-10%)

Open Interest Put/Call Ratio 0.5470 (1.02%)

All metrics as of September 22, 2022 12:26 PM
Crypto Prices
SymbolMarket CapLast PriceDaily ChangeYear to DateRelative to BTC YTD
BTC$368B$19,195-0.30%-59%
ETH$160B$1,306-3.66%-65%-5.96%
ADA$16B$0.45670.73%-66%-6.58%
SOL$11B$32.270.32%-81%-22%
DOGE$7.9B$0.05930.42%-65%-6.45%
DOT$7.2B$6.451.48%-76%-17%
MATIC$6.6B$0.75011.68%-70%-11%
LINK$3.5B$7.040.13%-64%-5.42%
NEAR$3.0B$3.870.40%-73%-14%
FTM$590M$0.23171.41%-90%-31%
HNT$584M$4.610.67%-88%-29%
Our Deep Research Projects
AVAX$5.2B$17.482.79%-84%-25%
IOTA$737M$0.26532.17%-81%-22%
ZIL$438M$0.03293.45%-57%2.24%
AMP$210M$0.0050-1.33%-90%-31%
ZEN$180M$14.022.75%-77%-18%

All prices as of September 22, 2022 9:09 AM

Exchange Traded Products (ETPs)
SymbolPremium to NavLast PriceDaily ChangeYear to DateRelative to BTC YTD
GBTC-29%$11.660.00%-66%-6.94%
BITW-41%$10.701.61%-72%-13%
ETHE-25%$9.82-2.39%-70%-11%
QBTC-7.84%$18.850.37%-69%-10%
BTCC-0.23%$3.540.28%-59%0.08%

All prices as of September 22, 2022 7:03 AM

Stocks
SymbolMarket CapLast PriceDaily ChangeYear to dateRelative to BTC YTD
PYPL$216B$87.75-3.76%-53%5.55%
SQ$76B$55.23-7.10%-66%-6.79%
COIN$65B$63.83-5.63%-75%-16%
SBNY$18B$160-4.98%-50%8.53%
HOOD$15B$9.75-1.71%-45%14%
MSTR$6.1B$187-4.76%-66%-6.72%
SI$4.2B$75.00-4.23%-49%9.62%
MARA$3.5B$10.10-6.91%-69%-10%
RIOT$2.7B$6.10-4.24%-73%-14%
MOGO$223M$0.8630-5.27%-75%-16%

All prices as of September 22, 2022 12:40 PM

News
QUICK BITS
Market maker Wintermute tells hacker to return funds or face legal action
The Block
Wintermute's message told the hacker to return the funds by end of the day, or else Wintermute would proceed to approach the authorities. The post Market maker Wintermute tells hacker to return funds or face legal action a...
Kraken’s Jesse Powell to Step Down as CEO of Crypto Exchange
CoinDesk
The exchange’s COO Dave Ripley will take over as CEO.
FUNDRAISING AND M&A
Japanese banking giant Nomura launches digital ecosystem VC arm
Coin Telegraph
“Staying at the forefront of digital innovation is a key priority for Nomura,” said president and group CEO of Nomura Holdings Kentaro Okuda.
FTX wants to raise up to $1 billion at its $32 billion valuation: CNBC
The Block
Crypto exchange FTX is reportedly in talks to raise up to $1 billion and preserve its $32 billion valuation. The post FTX wants to raise up to $1 billion at its $32 billion valuation: CNBC appeared first on The Block.
Azuki creator closes in on $30 million fundraise: sources
The Block
Chiru Labs, the Los Angeles-based creator of the much-hyped Azuki NFT collection, plans to raise at least $30 million in a Series A funding round. The post Azuki creator closes in on $30 million fundraise: sources appeared...
Bain Crypto leads $6.5 million round for MEV infrastructure provider Skip
The Block
Bain Crypto Capital has led a $6.5 million round for Skip protocol to democratize access to MEV opportunities and profits on the Cosmos ecosystem. The post Bain Crypto leads $6.5 million round for MEV infrastructure provid...
HIRING
Binance Hires Big-Name Former Government Officials to Set Up Advisory Board
CoinDesk
Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange by trading volume, has rounded up prominent former government officials to act as a global board of advisers as the company negotiates the regulatory and political minefield the crypto industry finds itsel...
HACKS, EXPLOITS, AND SCAMS
Hackers steal over $160 million from crypto market maker Wintermute | SC Media
Fundstrat AI Robot
Cryptocurrency market maker Wintermute was breached in the early hours of Sept. 20 with attackers taking $162.5 million from the company's ...
Wintermute CEO Gaevoy updates on hack, says firm will continue on-chain trading
The Block
Wintermute CEO Evengy Gaevoy provided an update on the exploit it suffered this morning. The post Wintermute CEO Gaevoy updates on hack, says firm will continue on-chain trading appeared first on The Block.

Reports you may have missed

We are finally starting to see some relief in interest rates and the DXY 0.00% following yesterday's FOMC meeting and the Treasury's quarterly refunding announcement. BTC 0.48% has rebounded from yesterday's low of $56.5k and is now trading just above $59k, while ETH 0.50% is attempting to break through $3k resistance. SOL -0.75% has outperformed, gaining 10% compared to BTC yesterday and is now trading just below $140. The market is showing decent breadth...

We are witnessing a continuation of the recent weakness in crypto markets today, with BTC 0.48% now testing $60k, ETH 0.50% just below $3k, and SOL -0.75% dipping under $130. The broader altcoin market is experiencing even more pronounced declines, with very few names posting a green candle today. The market was pushed lower in the overnight hours following a disappointing debut from the Hong Kong ETFs (more on that below). However, this...

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