Crypto Research

MARKET ANALYSIS It was another quiet week with limited price action as BTC traded between a tight range of $9,118 and $9,450. The asset finished the 7 days ended 7/13 at $9,277; down 1.4% over the period.   Bitcoin remains firmly ahead of gold as the best performing asset class on a YTD basis. Ripple (XRP) led all other major crypto assets by 6% - 10% this week and was...

MARKET ANALYSIS After briefly falling below its persistent $9,000 support level on Sunday, Bitcoin finished the 7 days ending 7/6 at $9,375; up 1.7% on the week. Volatility over the past 7 days has been exceptionally low with Bitcoin trading between a low of $8,977 and a high of $9,375. Bitcoin remains firmly ahead of gold as the best performing asset class on a YTD basis. Bitcoin Cash led all...

MARKET ANALYSIS After Bitcoin’s price briefly dipped below $9,000 on Saturday, gains on Sunday pushed it back above $9,000 into the lower band of its $9,000-$10,000 trading range that has persisted since the halvening. This ended its longest streak of daily losses (5 days) in over half a year. Prices last declined for 5 consecutive days in early December 2019. Bitcoin remains firmly ahead of gold as the best performing...

MARKET ANALYSIS Closing at $9,304 on Tuesday evening, Bitcoin remains firmly within its $9,000 - $10,000 trading range that has persisted since the May halving. Heading into the back half of the week, all eyes are on the options market as an estimated $930M worth of bitcoin options, accounting for about 70% of total open interest are set to expire on June 26th. Bitcoin remains firmly ahead of gold as...

MARKET ANALYSIS Following a brief dip below $9,000 on Monday, Bitcoin rallied in line with other major markets to close the day at $9,450. Bitcoin remains firmly ahead of gold as the best performing asset class on a YTD basis. Bitcoin led all other major crypto assets over the past week by 2% - 3%.   FS Crypto FX 250 was the best performing index last week, finishing the week...

MARKET ANALYSIS This week, Bitcoin’s price volatility dropped to its lowest level since the Black Thursday crash on March 12th; indicating a sustained lack of definitive direction in the market over the past few weeks. Following Black Thursday, Bitcoin rallied over 150% leading up to the mining reward halving, but has yet to establish a prolonged break above its key $10K resistance level. As of June 8th, it was trading...

MARKET ANALYSIS Bitcoin climbed as high as $10,200 on Monday June 1st before retracing to $9,530 by Tuesday’s close and ending the week up 7.2%. According to research from CryptoQuant, this latest dip could be attributable to the 5th largest mining pool, which is unknown, liquidating a large stock of coins on Wednesday as Bitcoin surpassed $10,000. Bitcoin remains firmly ahead of gold as the best performing asset class on...

Our view on crypto markets has not changed since last week when we increased our FY 2020 Bitcoin price outlook to $16,500. We saw a bit of bumpiness today when markets sold off after 50 BTC that had remained dormant since being mined in 2009 unexpectedly moved, spooking roomers of Satoshi selling coins. We’d dismiss this as an unlikely non-risk event and stay focused on the fundamentals. Crypto still looks...

PORTFOLIO STRATEGY The conditions appear in place for a continued rally in crypto asset prices over the course of the year. Last week brought two events that 1) incrementally de-risked the downside and 2) improved the bull market case.We are gaining confidence in the sustainability of this rally with each day that passes after the halvening that we don’t see signs of trouble in the mining sector.Investor sentiment data has...

PORTFOLIO STRATEGY In our prior note, we indicated that markets could likely see continued strength leading up into the Bitcoin halvening and that’s what we got this week. While my view has not changed since last week, this week I will offer investors 15 observation ahead of the halving. The picture is not conclusive, but it paints an on balance positive story. Bitcoin still has room to go before reaching...

PORTFOLIO STRATEGY Bitcoin and crypto markets have had a very strong week. We expect the strength could very likely continue over the next week and a half as we approach the Bitcoin halving on May 12th. If you are a longer term investor without crypto exposure, this is still not a bad time to be dipping your toe in the water and gaining that initial allocation, but be comfortable with...