Crypto Research
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A lot happened this week. Bitcoin hit new ATH’s and crypto is showing signs of market rotations. Our current views on the crypto market are the following:Crypto bull market cycle intactBitcoin valuations haven’t peakedMacro picture mixed but favorableCrypto cooling off would be heathyInstitutions more cautious on cryptoSigns of retail money entering pictureStill favor buying GBTC over spot BitcoinStill see Ethereum outperforming BitcoinSize leadership shifting to retail midcapsExchange tokens to DeFi...
Crypto Quarterly Portfolio Strategy Q1 2021: Bull market intact as stocks, high yield and capital flows signal further risk-on ahead of landmark Coinbase IPO
In this crypto weekly note, we’re giving a more comprehensive Q1 end update covering prior recommendations and current market views.Bitcoin and crypto had a strong March quarterStocks and high yield are signaling risk-on for cryptoLong GBTC NAV discount is the new BTC premium arb tradeBitcoin dominance falling as crypto capital flows push altcoins higherSmaller to mid-cap cyclicals offering high-risk high-reward crypto market betaCoinbase IPO is landmark moment for the crypto...
GBTC announces plans to convert to an ETF which should help close the -9% NAV premium gap
The largest U.S. exchange traded products, GBTC and ETHE, for the largest two crypto assets, Bitcoin and Ethereum, have been trading at a persistent discount to their NAV for a little over a month, with GBTC sitting around -9% and ETHE sitting around -5%. Source: Bloomberg (Date: 4/5/2021) Much of the discount has been the result of investors expecting a U.S. listed Bitcoin ETF in the near future after the...
Bitcoin has rebounded to new highs and pulled back again since our last market update on Bitcoin two weeks ago. We may sound like a broken record, but we remain bullish on Bitcoin and crypto and see further upside during the balance of the year. A FEW REASONS WE SEE FOR THE RECENT PULL BACK: -Traders repositioning ahead of $6B largest ever Bitcoin options expiration tomorrow -Traditional institutions new to...
BITCOIN MINING: THE MODERN AGE DIGITAL GOLD RUSH As coined by Mark Twain, “During the gold rush it’s a good time to be in the pick and shovel business.” Bitcoin and the wider crypto market are the modern age digital gold rush. As investors rush to gain exposure to scarce digital assets rapidly appreciating in value, critical infrastructure and service providers have positioned themselves to capitalize on the growing market....
CRYPTO MARKETS ARE REBOUNDING FROM LAST WEEK’S RATE RISE TANTRUM Bitcoin and crypto have rallied over the last several days after crypto and the broader markets have started to shake off rising rate fears. Easing investor concerns, the quick move upward in the 10 year has slowed, but what could interest rates tell us about the possible direction of Bitcoin prices? First let’s revisit what’s recently happened:The COVID pandemic took...
COINBASE, KRAKEN, GEMINI, AND OTHER CRYPTO EXCHANGES MUST EMBRACE DEFI TO REMAIN COMPETITIVE Coinbase’s direct listing on Nasdaq is a watershed moment for the crypto industry. It will be the first public crypto company with pure and dependable cash flows that is on par with some of the largest and most established exchanges in the world. Coinbase generated 2020 revenue of $1.3 billion, compared to CBOE’s $1.2 billion, Nasdaq’s $2.9...
MARKET RECAP: NEW ATHS & CONTINUED VOLATILITY Bitcoin rallied to a high of $58,367 on Sunday before commencing a 23% sell off down to $44,888 yesterday morning and bouncing to its current price of $48,770. In our view, the recent move is nothing more than a nice healthy correction and we think recent events have de-risked the market. We continue to believe the fourth crypto bull market remains intact and...
As we noted last week, Tesla recently announced it had added $1.5 billion of Bitcoin to its balance sheet. The announcement came less than two weeks after Elon Musk added B -1.34% itcoin to his Twitter bio, an act that caused a huge buzz amongst crypto enthusiasts. Tesla’s Bitcoin purchase adds to the growing list of public companies that are buying and holding Bitcoin in their treasuries. Source: https://bitcointreasuries. org/ Excluding Tesla,...
Tesla news sent Bitcoin and crypto soaring this morning. We see this as an important moment for market validation but are not surprised by the move. In our 2021 CRYPTO OUTLOOK report we saw corporate crypto buyers as a key catalyst for demand (slide 19: factor #16) and reason for raising our price target on Bitcoin from $40k to $100k. We’re reiterating our bullish view on crypto. ● TESLA $1.5...
THIS MESSAGE IS BEING SENT SOLELY TO CLIENTS OF FSINSIGHT Last Thursday, we held our FSInsight 2021 crypto outlook call and made three bold predictions:We raised our price target on Bitcoin from $40k to $100k.We reiterated our $10.5k Ethereum price target released on 1/20/2021.We forecasted the total crypto market cap to rise to $5T. Source: FSInsight OUTLOOK IMPLIED CRYPTO MARKET EXPECTATIONS While prices have risen a bit since our call...
Ethereum Hits New ATH: Maintaining OW & Issuing $10.5k Target As Web 3.0 Blockchain Computing Looks Set To Disrupt The Cloud
For a full copy of this report in PDF format, click this link. Ethereum (ETH) reached a new all time high of $1,440 today, passing the previous high set during January 2018 at the peak of the crypto bubble. We’ve been recommending an overweight in Ethereum since April 2020 and continue to see upside. We continue to believe Ethereum fundamentals are incredibly strong and think ETH represents the best risk /...