Crypto Research
212 Results
MARKET ANALYSIS This week, Bitcoin’s price volatility dropped to its lowest level since the Black Thursday crash on March 12th; indicating a sustained lack of definitive direction in the market over the past few weeks. Following Black Thursday, Bitcoin rallied over 150% leading up to the mining reward halving, but has yet to establish a prolonged break above its key $10K resistance level. As of June 8th, it was trading...
MARKET ANALYSIS Bitcoin climbed as high as $10,200 on Monday June 1st before retracing to $9,530 by Tuesday’s close and ending the week up 7.2%. According to research from CryptoQuant, this latest dip could be attributable to the 5th largest mining pool, which is unknown, liquidating a large stock of coins on Wednesday as Bitcoin surpassed $10,000. Bitcoin remains firmly ahead of gold as the best performing asset class on...
Our view on crypto markets has not changed since last week when we increased our FY 2020 Bitcoin price outlook to $16,500. We saw a bit of bumpiness today when markets sold off after 50 BTC that had remained dormant since being mined in 2009 unexpectedly moved, spooking roomers of Satoshi selling coins. We’d dismiss this as an unlikely non-risk event and stay focused on the fundamentals. Crypto still looks...
Increasing Outlook: Sentiment & FY 2020 Forecast Support a “Non-Speculative” Bitcoin Price of $16,500
PORTFOLIO STRATEGY The conditions appear in place for a continued rally in crypto asset prices over the course of the year. Last week brought two events that 1) incrementally de-risked the downside and 2) improved the bull market case.We are gaining confidence in the sustainability of this rally with each day that passes after the halvening that we don’t see signs of trouble in the mining sector.Investor sentiment data has...
PORTFOLIO STRATEGY In our prior note, we indicated that markets could likely see continued strength leading up into the Bitcoin halvening and that’s what we got this week. While my view has not changed since last week, this week I will offer investors 15 observation ahead of the halving. The picture is not conclusive, but it paints an on balance positive story. Bitcoin still has room to go before reaching...
PORTFOLIO STRATEGY Bitcoin and crypto markets have had a very strong week. We expect the strength could very likely continue over the next week and a half as we approach the Bitcoin halving on May 12th. If you are a longer term investor without crypto exposure, this is still not a bad time to be dipping your toe in the water and gaining that initial allocation, but be comfortable with...
PORTFOLIO STRATEGY These are strange times. Very, very strange times indeed. Oil markets have gone mad. At least that’s what I’d think if I’d only looked at the price, which plunged as low as -$37.63. Although, I’m strangely unsurprised given the macro backdrop, I must admit the situation interesting. However, I’m not here to talk about _BLACK GOLD_, I’m here to talk about DIGITAL GOLD, and by that, I mean...
Readers Note: The crypto weekly newsletter was not published last Friday due to the Easter holiday and has been moved to today instead. PORTFOLIO STRATEGY Crypto markets have seen price swings over past weeks, but despite the choppiness, markets have largely ended where we left them in prior weeks with Bitcoin sitting around $6,900 today. CRYPTO ALLOCATION: For this reason, our tactical crypto exposure recommendations haven’t changed since our last...
PORTFOLIO STRATEGY Howard Marks, the CIO of Oak Tree Capital said something this past week that caught my attention: _“THERE’S NO ARGUMENT FOR SPENDING ALL YOUR MONEY NOW, BUT THERE’S ALSO NO ARGUMENT FOR NOT SPENDING ANY.” _ In many respects, this statement summarizes my continued view on the crypto markets. We’ve been recommending investors have exposure to the crypto markets for the past few months. Following the recent sell...
PORTFOLIO STRATEGY It continues to be our view that crypto markets are in the 2nd or 3rd innings of a prolonged recovery following their December 2018 bottom. The earlier months sell off likely flushed a significant portion of leverage and speculative short term traders out of the ecosystem, as we discussed on our FS Insight Digital Assets call earlier this week. This dynamic bodes well for reducing market downside risks...
SUMMARY MARKET ANALYSIS:Crypto markets rallied off last week’s lows. PORTFOLIO STRATEGY:The risk / return profile looks attractive at these levels. WINNERS & LOSERSWinner: The Steem community who is taking a stand against Tron founder Justin Sun.Loser: MakerDAO token holders who are getting diluted due to poor performing loans. WEEKLY RANT:BitMex going down for maintenance makes me cringe, but it may have been for the better. FINANCING ACTIVITY:Bakkt, Argent, Phemex, and...
Back in December 2019, I started saying we’re in a “CRYPTO GOLDILOCKS ECONOMY” THAT’S “NOT TOO HOT AND NOT TOO COLD” – meaning, markets weren’t expensive, but they weren’t cheap either. THAT CHANGED THIS WEEK. Corona. Macro. Panic. Reason aside, Bitcoin’s price retraced to a low of $3,858 and now sits around $5,400, and its Market Cap / Cumulative Mining Revenue Ratio has fallen to 5.3x. As an investor in...
