Mon April 15

The coming week is an important "fragility test" for markets as equities sit at 50dma. While de-risking is "knee jerk" response, this dip will likely be bought. In contrast to 2022 Ukraine-war eve, Fed is dovish.

VIDEO: The market faces an important fragility test this week, but to us, the key lies in the amount of required de-leveraging and also Fed stance. Please click below to view...

Wed April 10

We are still buying dips (even these baby dips). March CPI could be upside catalyst for stocks to break this 18 day consolidation.

VIDEO: Stocks have been rangebound for 18 days now.  March CPI could be upside catalyst on a good reading Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:10). https://vimeo. com/932666595/20a87a6308? share=copy Equities...

Mon April 8

Last week's market "stress test" reveals investors lean bearish. Wed is first "clean" CPI (March) in 2024, and likely a positive catalyst for equities.

VIDEO: The first "clean" CPI report is released Wed (March CPI) and we expect this to show the prevailing trend -- that inflation is falling like a rock Please click below...

Fri April 5

Equities soft into March jobs report (Friday). The 6 most recent instances of weak into jobs day saw strong gains 1-week and 1-month later (5 of 6 times). We expect similar.

VIDEO: Thursday afternoon sell-off of 2% is creating a buying opportunity into Friday's jobs report.  There are 6 times stocks fell 1-day and 1-week into the jobs report.  5 of 6...

Wed April 3

GOOGL being added to UPTICKS list

I CONTINUE TO SEE THE US STOCK MARKET AS BEING ATTRACTIVE, TECHNICALLY SPEAKING, AND DO NOT FEEL SUFFICIENT RISK IS THERE TO WARRANT A SELLOFF AT THIS TIME. WHILE PRICE...

Wed April 3

5 reasons we are buying this "inflation-fear" 2-day dip. Wed could be the turning date higher.

VIDEO: We discuss the 5 reasons we are buying this 2-day dip.  Probabilities favor a turn upwards Wed Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 04:01). https://vimeo. com/930087070/3416b886fb? share=copy Ever...

Sun March 31

Why Q2 Could See Rally Continuing

Markets continued to advance on the last trading week of the month and quarter, which ended on the Thursday of a shortened trading week. The S&P 500 again closed at...

Thu March 28

S&P 500 Ends Q1 Up Nearly 11% YTD

Good evening, The last trading day of the month and quarter arrived on the Thursday of a shortened trading week. Markets continue to advance, with the S&P 500 closing at...

Wed March 27

VIDEO: Macro Minute: GS fund flow data shows investors pulled $22b from equities last week, hardly a sign of a top.  Small-caps strengthen as markets believe Fed cuts coming

VIDEO: We discuss how the the $6T in cash on sldelines remains a tremendous support for stocks.  And coming Fed cuts benefit small-caps over large ($IWM $SPY). Please click below...

Wed March 27

Three empirical reasons small-caps set to outperform in 2024 by as much as 50%. R2K EPS growth +690bp faster but trades at a 41% P/E discount. Feb Core PCE (Fri) likely below consensus = good

Recently, I was a panelist at an investment conference (thank you, Stephanie Link, for inviting me) and a snarky panelist, a hedge fund manager, started to ridicule the idea of...

Wed March 20

5 reasons we expect stocks to rally post-FOMC (Wed 2pm ET). Technicals positive and hence, still "gas in the tank"

VIDEO: We see 5 reasons stocks rally post-FOMC, even if the Fed sounds cautious on the progress of inflation. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 04:19). https://vimeo....

Fri March 15

Still in a buy the dip regime as still "gas in the tank". Money market cash reaches record $6.1T. Of $1.2T rise in past year, only $234 billion is bank deposit flight.

VIDEO: We are still in a buy the dip regime.  The fact that money market cash again rose to an all-time high is bullish for stocks. Please click below to...