USA cases promising --> cases flat/down (vs 7D ago) 3 of last 4 days. Central case is still "everything rally" into YE

Click HERE to access the FSInsight COVID-19 Daily Chartbook.

We are shifting to a 4-day a week publication schedule:

Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
SKIP THURSDAY
Friday

STRATEGY: USA cases promising --> cases flat/down (vs 7D ago) 3 of last 4 days

The overall trend in US cases is promising. Take a look below, daily cases were flat/down for 3 of the last 4 days. This is a material break in trend, as cases have been rising steadily since early July. And recall, starting early July, equity markets experienced serious "chop" -- so much so, the Fed's statement from Jackson Hole tilted dovish, due to the uncertainty stemming from Delta-variant.

- in other words, the case trends in COVID-19 remain the most important macro driver

- this is only our opinion, of course

The video in this report is only accessible to members

Another way to see this improvement in case trends is looking at 7D delta in cases. And you can see the pronounced improvement in the past few days:

- USA case trends are improving
- "flat" is the worst case, but improving is probably more accurate
- weekends are impacted by many states not reporting cases

- FL and UK continue to show improvements, and they are template for the USA overall
- roughly, Delta-variant surge plays out after 45 days

The video in this report is only accessible to members
Cases in FL counties still rollin...

Unlock this article with a FREE 30-Day Trial!

An FSI Pro, or FSI Macro subscription is required in order to access this content.

*Free trial available only on a monthly plan

More from the author

Disclosures (show)

Get invaluable analysis of the market and stocks. Cancel at any time. Start Free Trial

Articles Read 2/2

🎁 Unlock 1 extra article by joining our Community!

You’ve reached your limit of 2 free monthly articles. Please enter your email to unlock 1 more articles.

Already have an account? Sign In

Don't Miss Out
First Month Free