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Equity markets fear "debt defaults" but US Treasuries didn't get the memo --> plus 6 other reasons this pullback likely gets bought hard

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STRATEGY: Equity markets fear "debt defaults" but US Treasuries didn't get the memo

Evergrande created a grand ripple across risk markets on Monday...
I woke up Monday and saw futures tumbling and saw that markets in Asia were getting massacred. At the market nadir Monday, all the major equity averages were down nearly 3%.

- 3% is a huge decline
- VIX also surged 38% Monday nearly touching 29

So this is not a normal garden variety day in equities. It was a full blown de-risk event. Many commentators Monday said equities have been correcting for some time, so, in their opinion, it was not necessarily one item -- that is, they cited a litany of factors from Evergrande to Washington risk (shutdowns) to "peak everything" to seasonals.

You might consider this cherry picking, but we believe this is largely a sell-off stemming from the perceived seismic impact of the impending collapse of Evergrande, the Chinese property developer. One doesn't really need to guess this. This has dominated headlines Monday (see below).

- Evergrande's debt is ~$300 billion, sizable, and thus viewed as systematic risk- prior ...

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