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COVID-19 UPDATE: NY hospitalizations <10,000 (another key milestone) and mobility data show Americans slowly resuming activity.

COVID-19 remains a global crisis and we realize that many people need to keep up with COVID-19 developments, particularly since we are moving into the more critical stage ("restart economy"), so feel free to share our commentary to anyone who has interest.

It was a quiet weekend, and with better weather, more Americans are venturing out...
It has been just over 100 days (101, first case 1/22/20200 since COVID-19 first reached the US.  As of yesterday, US cases totaled 1.2 million and reported deaths >60,000.  Based on the 6 serology studies conducted in the US (>1,000 patients each), the real figure could be closer to 15X-85X higher, or as many as 18 million to 96 million Americans.  Looking back at the past 100 days, the US has seen a greater prevalence of COVID-19 (compared to Europe) with 3,500 cases per 1mm residents vs 3,500 Italy, 2,749 for the UK, 2,600 France, and 1,980 for Germany.  But COVID-19 related deaths are actually much lower in the USA at 188 per 1mm vs 478 for Italy, 419 for the UK, 381 for France, 82 for Germany. 

The US figure is distorted by the NY state.  Below is the USA data (per Johns Hopkins).  Excluding NY state, the US cases per 1mm is much lower and the US deaths per 1mm is closer to Germany.

USA COVID-19 Cases...
                                           Cases              Pops       Cases/ 1mm
USA                               1,153,420       328,239,523        3,514
- NY                                 316,415         19,453,561      16,265
- US ex-NY (49 states)     837,005       308,785,962        2,711

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