Financial Research
Crypto Weekly
- Crypto Weekly
THE QUESTION REMAINS – WEN[1] BOTTOM? Since the November highs, most of the downward pressure on crypto prices has been the product of macroeconomic headwinds. Inflation has yet to conclusively rollover, and the Fed appears intent on stifling demand to bring down the costs of...
- Crypto Weekly
The UST Unwind and Its Implications
THE MAKINGS OF A QUASI-BANK RUN As if investors needed more reasons to be bearish, the market was thrown into a slight bout of chaos on Monday after a quasi-bank run on UST. Please refer to our prior work on the topic for further background information on UST’s functionality, Luna...
- Crypto Weekly
Wen Bottom?
FOMC RECAP This week, investors were provided with one of the bigger “head-fakes” in recent history. The May FOMC meeting took place on Tuesday and Wednesday, after which Jerome Powell announced a 50-bps rate increase to the target Fed Funds rate and plans to commence with the balance sheet runoff...
- Crypto Weekly
Crab Season
WEEKLY RECAP This week’s price action left much to be desired by those trading in either direction as most major cryptoassets continued to exhibit sideways price action. After briefly falling below $38k on Tuesday, $BTC found a bid and has since recovered, sitting around $40k at the time of writing....
- Crypto Weekly
Crypto Never Sleeps
WEEKLY RECAP Outside of a Sunday-night dip, cryptoassets have performed robustly, with bitcoin reclaiming the $40k level and ether reestablishing its perch above $3k. This week, crypto investors ventured further out on the risk curve as DeFi and Web3 sectors outperformed currencies. Interestingly, the privacy sector recorded another green weekly...
- Crypto Weekly
A Framework for Positioning Around Tightening Monetary Policy
WEEKLY RECAP It was yet another choppy, risk-off week for crypto, as investor concerns over inflation and the impending Fed response grew. Last week, we discussed how the March FOMC meeting minutes discussed an expeditious plan for rate hikes and a roadmap for quantitative tightening starting as early as May....
- Crypto Weekly
Fundamentals Lean Bullish as Quantitative Tightening Enters the Picture
Meeting minutes from the March FOMC meeting were released today. The Fed’s posture leaned decisively hawkish as they introduced the prospect of QT starting as early as May.Despite the resurgence of macro headwinds, the bullish trend upwards for realized cap continued this week, indicating renewed demand for bitcoin.We revisit our...
- Crypto Weekly
LFG
WEEKLY RECAP It was another week of green candles across the crypto ecosystem as bitcoin flirted with its 200-day moving average for the first time in several months. Like last week, the more speculative sectors outperformed the prior 7-days, with the once-beleaguered DeFi sector continuing to turn some heads. _Source:...
- Crypto Weekly
Project development continues as token demand remains muted
WEEKLY RECAP Cryptoassets performed strongly for the second consecutive week, as prices have seemingly become less responsive to negative headlines surrounding the war in Ukraine and the risk of excess hawkishness from the Fed. It was another “risk-on” week within crypto as smart contract platforms performed the best on a...
- Crypto Weekly
The Merge Approaches
WEEKLY RECAP For the first time since December 2018, the Fed announced a benchmark interest rate hike of 25 bps and signaled for six more hikes this year. It is apparent that the market had priced this in (discussed further below) and is content with the lack of increased hawkishness...
- Crypto Weekly
The Rollercoaster Ride Continues
WEEKLY RECAP The global crypto market continues to exhibit a range-bound choppiness, waxing and waning on the latest headlines. We saw $ETH and $BTC start the week above the $43k level after benefitting immensely from Russian sanctions and the narratives surrounding them. Since then, markets have retreated as commodity prices...