Japan Announces CBDC Program, Platypus Finance Loses $8.5 Million

Feb 17, 2023

Market Update

  • Traditional indices are extending yesterday’s fall on the back of higher terminal rate expectations after a couple of hot economic data points this week. The $SPY (-0.91%) is holding above $400 while the $QQQ (-1.54%) has fallen just below $300. After a violent dump leading into yesterday’s close, $BTC (+3.52%) and $ETH (+3.49%) have rallied back to $24.3k and $1.69k, respectively. Liquid staking derivatives (LSDs) are outperforming today with $LDO (+15.7%), $RPL (+13.6%), and $FXS (+10.1%) all boasting double digit gains. Although alt-coins have shown impressive returns as of late, $BTC.D has risen almost 9% from last month’s lows potentially indicating fresh capital is allocating towards Bitcoin while existing capital is rotating around alt-coins within the crypto ecosystem.
  • Japan’s central bank announced today its plans to launch a CBDC pilot program in April to test the efficacy of a digital yen. The program's two goals are to test the technical feasibility of a digital currency and to utilize the experience of existing industry leaders for expertise in designing and implementing the potential new currency. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has been experimenting with digital yen ideas over the last two years and has watched as China’s digital yuan is beginning to see success. The pilot program will have participation from private companies, but no real transactions will be happening between consumers and retailers. At least three Japanese megabanks and regional banks are expected to participate in the program. Additionally, Japanese officials are considering amending the ban on foreign stablecoins in Japan, opening the doors for potential adoption if coins pass individual checks. The amendments are expected to go into place by summer this year.
  • Decentralized finance platform Platypus Finance was exploited in a flash-loan attack Thursday afternoon with losses exceeding $8.5 million. A flash-loan is a type of uncollateralized borrowing mechanism in DeFi that allows traders to quickly borrow large sums and take advantage of arbitrage opportunities. Unfortunately, they can also be used to exploit protocols. The blockchain security company, Certik, outlined how the hacker was able to borrow $44 million USDC and deposit it into Platypus, then leverage the USDC LP position to mint $41.8 million worth of USP (Platypus’ stablecoin). Finally, the hacker exploited an emergency withdraw function, allowing them to evade locks on the collateral and withdraw all the USDC and USP. After they repaid the initial flash-loan and swapped USP for various assets, USP had lost its peg, falling to 48 cents, and Platypus losses totaled around $8.5 million. All operations for Platypus are currently halted, and they have reached out to the hacker and offered them a Whitehat bounty in exchange for returning the lost funds.

Daily Technical Strategy

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Mark L. Newton, CMT

Head of Technical Strategy

Ethereum has now begun to show similar strength which Bitcoin demonstrated earlier this week when it broke back up above recent monthly highs. While $ETHUSD still needs to officially reclaim $1714 which remains intra-day resistance, it's weekly close will still successfully reach the highest levels since last Fall. This is a technical positive, and will make dips buyable into next week. Long positions are preferred between now and April with initial structural resistance found near last August's highs near $2k. Any near-term weakness likely holds at support near $1640, and possibly $1670 before turning back higher to rally and challenge 2k. Intermediate-term resistance above 2k lies at 2400 and then 2850 as possible Spring targets on gains.

Daily Important Metrics

Crypto Size

Bullish signal is tied to the crypo market growing

Market cap $1.09T $-20.2B (-1.82%)
BTC Dominance
42.47% (-0.41%)
Stablecoins

Increase in crculating stablecoins is a Bullish signal

In Circulation $70B(+0.03%)
In Exchanges $17B(+0.10%)
BTC Metrics

A decrease in Bitcoin on exchanges is bullish, indicates investors are moving coins to cold storage

# BTC in Exchanges 2.3M(-0.11%)
Funding Rates

Positive funding rates indicate traders are Bullish

Aggregate0.68 (-0.86)
Binance0.98 (-0.02)
Bitfinex2.27 (-0.54)
Bitmex1.00 (-0.08)
ByBit1.00 (-0.46)
Deribit0.23 (-2.72)
Huobi1.53 (0.53)
Kraken0.14 (-1.77)
Mean0.68 (-0.86)
OKex-0.31 (-2.37)
Sentiment
Japan Announces CBDC Program, Platypus Finance Loses $8.5 Million

BMI : 77 (157%)

Futures

A positive spread between Futures Prices and Spot Prices is Bullish

CME BTC Price$24,025 (-2.20%)
Spot Basis
$-18.71 (-0.08%)
Volume1.6M (14%)
Open Interest
355,717 (0.81%)
Options all exchanges

Higher open interest change in a bull market is bullish for the sector

Volume33,967 (39%)
Open Interest315,312 (2.92%)
Volume Put/Call Ratio0.4229 (-27%)
Open Interest Put/Call Ratio0.4266 (1.65%)

All metrics as of February 22, 2023 12:40 PM

All Funding rates are on bps

Crypto Prices

Symbol Market Cap Last Price Daily Change Year to Date Relative to BTC YTD
btc imageBTC
$464B $24,044 -2.62% 45%
btc imageETH
$200B $1,636 -2.49% 37% -8.58%
btc imageADA
$13B $0.3854 -2.44% 56% 11%
btc imageMATIC
$12B $1.37 -2.41% 79% 34%
btc imageDOGE
$11B $0.0853 -1.20% 22% -24%
btc imageSOL
$8.9B $23.64 -6.35% 139% 94%
btc imageDOT
$8.2B $7.06 -3.51% 62% 17%
btc imageLINK
$3.8B $7.48 -3.58% 35% -10%
btc imageNEAR
$2.1B $2.45 -4.30% 93% 47%

Exchange Traded Products (ETPs)

Symbol Premium to Nav Last Price Daily Change Year to Date Relative to BTC YTD
GBTC -47% $11.58 -2.53% 40% -5.45%
BITW -58% $8.97 -2.45% 67% 22%
ETHE -53% $7.42 -2.83% 56% 11%
BTCC 0.98% $4.38 -3.31% 45% -0.58%

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