Epicenter

Covid must hurt stocks

This list was published in the FIRST WORD dated April 9, 2020. We’ve republished it here in order to highlight it for our valued subscribers.

STRATEGY: Updating Epicenter Trifecta List  – 24 stock ideas are removed, and 11 stock ideas are added to the list… Now 108 stocks in the Trifecta list…

We are re-balancing our “Trifecta” epicenter stock list. These are the stocks which were hit the hardest by the pandemic and have the greatest operating leverage to a re-opening.  And we like the earnings upside in these stocks, because of the massive cost reset.  The stocks are based on positive views coming from the trifecta of: (i) Quant (tireless Ken), (ii) Global Portfolio Strategy (Brian Rauscher, aka Rocky) and (iii) Technicals.  

11 Additions:
Consumer Discretionary:
 AAP -0.27% ,  AZO -1.29% ,  BBY 0.20% ,  GPC -0.17% ,  HOG 0.18% ,  PHM 2.21%
Industrials:
 GGG -0.75%
Real Estate:
 ARE 0.96% ,  ESS 1.41% ,  O 0.71% ,  PSA 0.68%

24 Deletions:
Consumer Discretionary:
 DRI 0.11% ,  SBUX 0.00% ,  TOL
Financials:
 BOH -0.02% ,  FHN 0.52% ,  FITB 1.28% ,  GS 0.59% ,  PBCT,  PNFP 0.27% ,  RF 1.74% ,  SBNY -4.17% ,  STL,  SYF
Industrials:
 EMR -0.03% ,  LSTR 2.91% ,  NVT -0.01% ,  TTC,  UNP
Materials
 ESI 0.36% ,  LYB -0.65% ,  MLM 0.34% ,  MOS 1.41%
Real Estate:
 RYN -0.51% ,  VNO

Below is the complete list of 108 Epicenter Trifecta list (*)…CLICK HERE for a full copy in PDF format

Consumer Discretionary:
 AAP -0.27% ,  AN -1.12% ,  AZO -1.29% ,  F 1.68% ,  GM 1.70% ,  HOG 0.18% ,  BBY 0.20% ,  GRMN 0.60% ,  GPC -0.17% ,  LEG 1.00% ,  TPX 1.05% ,  PHM 2.21% ,  NWL 2.03% ,  MAT 0.25% ,  PII 1.05% ,  RL 0.68% ,  MGM 1.31% ,  HLT -0.48% ,  MAR -0.49% ,  NCLH -1.92% ,  RCL -0.51% ,  WH 0.07% ,  TNL,  SIX 0.88% ,  FL -0.04% ,  GPS 0.95% ,  KSS 2.39% ,  LB,  VFC
Financials:
 WTFC,  ASB 1.18% ,  FNB 0.57% ,  PB 1.11% ,  TFC,  WBS,  PACW,  NYCB -3.29% ,  MTG 1.04% ,  EVR 0.20% ,  IBKR 0.25% ,  VIRT 1.23% ,  BK 1.21% ,  STT 0.57% ,  BHF 0.68%
Industrials:
 AGCO 1.07% ,  OC -0.25% ,  ACM 0.79% ,  WAB,  GNRC 1.24% ,  CSL 0.83% ,  GE -2.55% ,  GGG -0.75% ,  IEX -0.44% ,  PNR 0.49% ,  CFX,  DOV -0.02% ,  MIDD 0.79% ,  SNA,  XYL,  FLS -0.11% ,  EAF 6.15% ,  ITT -0.60% ,  ALK 2.33% ,  DAL 1.27% ,  JBLU -0.13% ,  LUV -0.27% ,  MIC,  KEX 0.31% ,  JBHT 2.07% ,  R 1.33% ,  UBER -1.43% ,  UHAL,  MAN 1.66%
Energy:
 XOM,  HP -0.40% ,  BKR 1.24% ,  HAL 1.52% ,  NOV 1.67% ,  SLB -0.16% ,  COP 0.35% ,  EOG 1.15% ,  FANG 0.83% ,  HES 1.39% ,  MRO 2.34% ,  MUR 1.31% ,  PXD 0.96% ,  XEC,  HFC,  MPC 1.02% ,  PSX 1.28%
Materials:
 EXP 0.97% ,  CF 0.73% ,  NEU 0.80% ,  NUE -0.33% ,  RS -0.81% ,  SON,  IP -0.94%
Real Estate:
 ARE 0.96% ,  BXP 3.42% ,  HIW 0.96% ,  JBGS -1.29% ,  ESS 1.41% ,  UDR 1.08% ,  KIM 1.29% ,  NNN 0.33% ,  O 0.71% ,  WRI,  PSA 0.68%

Epicenter – Stocks with Uncommon Value During Uncommon Times
Epicenter – Stocks with Uncommon Value During Uncommon Times
Epicenter – Stocks with Uncommon Value During Uncommon Times
Epicenter – Stocks with Uncommon Value During Uncommon Times

Source: FSInsight, Bloomberg

(*) Please note that the stocks rated OW on this list meet the requirements of our investment theme as of the publication date. We do not monitor this list day by day. A stock taken off this list means it no longer meets our investment criteria, but not necessarily that it is neutral rated or should be sold. Please consult your financial advisor to discuss your risk tolerance and other factors that characterize your unique investment profile.

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